TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Holub vs Roman Hudeczek 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Marek Holub
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911115611811––
Roman Hudeczek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:24 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Holub above · Roman Hudeczek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Roman Hudeczek at 59.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Marek Holub 18–20 Roman Hudeczek Marek Holub has won 18 of their 38 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 14:24What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hudeczek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-20 in 38
Hudeczek
Correct
gap of 2 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holub 1564 vs Hudeczek 1699
Hudeczek
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holub 20% vs Hudeczek 100%
Hudeczek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holub 30% vs Hudeczek 50%
Hudeczek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holub -1 · Hudeczek +5
Hudeczek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hudeczek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hudeczek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 2.10 / Hudeczek 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Hudeczek)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178925
Holub2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog42% won 76 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Hudeczek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 61 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it81% 26 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 42 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolub4wins
AwayHudeczek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHudeczek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolub75%3 of 4
AwayHudeczek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holub4Hudeczek6n = 10Hudeczek took 6 of 10
S2Holub4Hudeczek6n = 10Hudeczek took 6 of 10
S3Holub6Hudeczek4n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S4Holub6Hudeczek2n = 8Holub took 6 of 8
S5Holub1Hudeczek4n = 5Hudeczek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolubHudeczekHolub − HudeczekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.540.5+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubHudeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 337 vs 183 / 36846.3%49.7%156 / 337 vs 183 / 368Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekHolub 2.10/Hudeczek 1.67
Hit
What we said
59%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 14:00M. Holub31511691R. Hudeczek3911611113
WSep 9 · 15:30M. Holub54991114113R. Hudeczek49111161292
LSep 7 · 21:00M. Holub47711111172R. Hudeczek46113138113
LSep 7 · 19:00M. Holub48141341162R. Hudeczek531611114113
WSep 2 · 20:30M. Holub4011711113R. Hudeczek25911321
WSep 1 · 19:00M. Holub391612113R. Hudeczek29141050
LAug 17 · 14:00M. Holub531191112102R. Hudeczek50711614123
LJul 29 · 17:28M. Holub238870R. Hudeczek331111113
WJul 29 · 14:30M. Holub4011711113R. Hudeczek29711651
LJul 26 · 21:12M. Holub5099141172R. Hudeczek521111127113
M. Holub10
LSep 23 · 20:30L. Kern1.5711118113M. Holub2.25941191LSep 23 · 18:30Z. Pagac1.611361310123M. Holub2.2011111112102WSep 17 · 20:59Z. Pagac1.441112591M. Holub2.6341411113LSep 17 · 20:00M. Holub2.25611951M. Chalupa1.5711811113LSep 17 · 19:30T. Kypr1.531111123M. Holub2.3888100LSep 17 · 18:00M. Holub2.208850Z. Pagac1.611111113LSep 16 · 17:08M. Holub2.50711161T. Kypr1.5011511113WSep 16 · 16:30M. Holub2.38131411113T. Kypr1.53111112992LSep 16 · 15:00M. Holub2.10116111182Z. Pagac1.67131189113LSep 16 · 14:00R. Hudeczek1.6711611113M. Holub2.10511691
R. Hudeczek10
WSep 23 · 20:00R. Hudeczek1.671111113Z. Pagac2.107760WSep 23 · 18:00R. Hudeczek1.7351111113L. Kern2.00117751WSep 21 · 21:29R. Hudeczek1.831111113M. Chalupa1.838670WSep 21 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.7381111113Z. Pagac2.00116731WSep 21 · 19:00R. Hudeczek2.101111113D. Szotek1.679580WSep 21 · 18:00M. Chalupa1.7311691162R. Hudeczek2.00511119113LSep 19 · 13:00F. Nadymacek1.83111187113R. Hudeczek1.8388111162LSep 19 · 12:30R. Hudeczek1.67111191092Z. Pagac2.10571112113LSep 19 · 11:00R. Hudeczek1.737760M. Chalupa2.001111113WSep 16 · 14:00R. Hudeczek1.6711611113M. Holub2.10511691
Upcoming Matches
M. Holub
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R. Hudeczek
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