TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Michal Chalupa
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115611911119611
Roman Hudeczek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:13 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Chalupa to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Chalupa above · Roman Hudeczek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 90 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Michal Chalupa at 65.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Michal Chalupa 29–30 Roman Hudeczek Michal Chalupa has won 29 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chalupa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-30 in 59
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chalupa 1737 vs Hudeczek 1662
Chalupa
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chalupa 100% vs Hudeczek 0%
Chalupa
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chalupa 80% vs Hudeczek 40%
Chalupa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chalupa +7 · Hudeczek -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Chalupa) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hudeczek form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupa 1.73 / Hudeczek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Chalupa)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164352
Chalupa1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 115 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it77% 80 of 104
Hudeczek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 46 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back35% 19 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back24% 8 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChalupa6wins
AwayHudeczek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChalupa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChalupa71.4%5 of 7
AwayHudeczek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chalupa7Hudeczek3n = 10Chalupa took 7 of 10
S2Chalupa5Hudeczek5n = 10split evenly
S3Chalupa4Hudeczek6n = 10Hudeczek took 6 of 10
S4Chalupa8Hudeczek1n = 9Chalupa took 8 of 9
S5Chalupa1Hudeczek3n = 4Hudeczek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChalupaHudeczekC − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.539.0+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupaHudeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 730 vs 180 / 36553%49.3%387 / 730 vs 180 / 365Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaChalupa 1.73/Hudeczek 2.00
Miss
What we said
54.5%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 18:00M. Chalupa4311691162R. Hudeczek47511119113
WSep 19 · 11:00M. Chalupa331111113R. Hudeczek207760
WSep 13 · 16:00M. Chalupa4311911123R. Hudeczek327114101
WSep 9 · 21:29M. Chalupa4411119133R. Hudeczek409911111
WSep 9 · 20:00M. Chalupa49951111133R. Hudeczek45111157112
WSep 7 · 18:30M. Chalupa4111118113R. Hudeczek32861171
LSep 4 · 21:30M. Chalupa4481291142R. Hudeczek501110117113
LSep 4 · 19:00M. Chalupa3811581132R. Hudeczek45711115113
LSep 4 · 14:30M. Chalupa27451171R. Hudeczek4211119113
WSep 2 · 19:00M. Chalupa4311129113R. Hudeczek377101191
M. Chalupa10
WSep 21 · 19:30Z. Pagac2.50114641M. Chalupa1.5071111113WSep 19 · 13:30M. Chalupa1.441111113Z. Pagac2.639950WSep 19 · 12:00F. Nadymacek1.40811111272M. Chalupa2.75119714113WSep 19 · 11:00R. Hudeczek1.737760M. Chalupa2.001111113WSep 19 · 10:30M. Chalupa1.5311812113Z. Pagac2.389111081WSep 17 · 21:28T. Kypr2.101111831M. Chalupa1.6791311113WSep 17 · 20:00M. Holub2.25611951M. Chalupa1.5711811113WSep 17 · 19:00Z. Pagac2.255890M. Chalupa1.571111113LSep 17 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.508950T. Kypr2.501111113LSep 13 · 17:00M. Chalupa1.8567120D. Szotek1.851111143
R. Hudeczek10
WSep 21 · 19:00R. Hudeczek2.101111113D. Szotek1.679580LSep 19 · 13:00F. Nadymacek1.83111187113R. Hudeczek1.8388111162LSep 19 · 12:30R. Hudeczek1.67111191092Z. Pagac2.10571112113LSep 19 · 11:00R. Hudeczek1.737760M. Chalupa2.001111113LSep 19 · 10:00F. Nadymacek1.5311127113R. Hudeczek2.387101181LSep 16 · 17:29R. Hudeczek1.50119761Z. Pagac2.5091111113WSep 16 · 16:00R. Hudeczek1.6781111113Z. Pagac2.10119481WSep 16 · 15:30T. Kypr2.1071211362R. Hudeczek1.671110711113WSep 16 · 14:00R. Hudeczek1.6711611113M. Holub2.10511691WSep 13 · 17:29Z. Pagac2.005660R. Hudeczek1.731111113
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