TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13152592
Played Sep 19Finished
Roman Hudeczek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711611––––
Michal Chalupa
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Hudeczek above · Michal Chalupa below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 53 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Roman Hudeczek at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hudeczek 29–28 Michal Chalupa Michal Chalupa has won 28 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:33What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hudeczek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-28 in 57
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hudeczek 1659 vs Chalupa 1707
Chalupa
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudeczek 60% vs Chalupa 80%
Chalupa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudeczek 60% vs Chalupa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudeczek -2 · Chalupa +4
Chalupa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hudeczek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudeczek 1.73 / Chalupa 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chalupa)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13152592
Hudeczek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 63 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 44 of 59
Chalupa2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 73 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back23% 21 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHudeczek3wins
AwayChalupa7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChalupa leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHudeczek50%2 of 4
AwayChalupa83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hudeczek4Chalupa6n = 10Chalupa took 6 of 10
S2Hudeczek4Chalupa6n = 10Chalupa took 6 of 10
S3Hudeczek5Chalupa5n = 10split evenly
S4Hudeczek1Chalupa8n = 9Chalupa took 8 of 9
S5Hudeczek2Chalupa1n = 3Hudeczek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHudeczekChalupaH − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.040.4−2.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudeczekChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 360 vs 384 / 72649.4%52.9%178 / 360 vs 384 / 726Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekHudeczek 1.73/Chalupa 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chalupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 16:00R. Hudeczek327114101M. Chalupa4311911123
LSep 9 · 21:29R. Hudeczek409911111M. Chalupa4411119133
LSep 9 · 20:00R. Hudeczek45111157112M. Chalupa49951111133
LSep 7 · 18:30R. Hudeczek32861171M. Chalupa4111118113
WSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek501110117113M. Chalupa4481291142
WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek45711115113M. Chalupa3811581132
WSep 4 · 14:30R. Hudeczek4211119113M. Chalupa27451171
LSep 2 · 19:00R. Hudeczek377101191M. Chalupa4311129113
LSep 1 · 18:00R. Hudeczek2711790M. Chalupa351311113
LAug 26 · 18:30R. Hudeczek30117481M. Chalupa4071111113
R. Hudeczek10
LSep 19 · 10:00F. Nadymacek1.5311127113R. Hudeczek2.387101181LSep 16 · 17:29R. Hudeczek1.50119761Z. Pagac2.5091111113WSep 16 · 16:00R. Hudeczek1.6781111113Z. Pagac2.10119481WSep 16 · 15:30T. Kypr2.1071211362R. Hudeczek1.671110711113WSep 16 · 14:00R. Hudeczek1.6711611113M. Holub2.10511691WSep 13 · 17:29Z. Pagac2.005660R. Hudeczek1.731111113LSep 13 · 16:00M. Chalupa1.8311911123R. Hudeczek1.837114101WSep 13 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.0011531132R. Hudeczek1.73811117113WSep 13 · 14:30R. Hudeczek2.101115113D. Szotek1.6781350LSep 9 · 21:29M. Chalupa1.9111119133R. Hudeczek1.809911111
M. Chalupa10
WSep 19 · 12:00F. Nadymacek1.40811111272M. Chalupa2.75119714113WSep 19 · 10:30M. Chalupa1.5311812113Z. Pagac2.389111081WSep 17 · 21:28T. Kypr2.101111831M. Chalupa1.6791311113WSep 17 · 20:00M. Holub2.25611951M. Chalupa1.5711811113WSep 17 · 19:00Z. Pagac2.255890M. Chalupa1.571111113LSep 17 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.508950T. Kypr2.501111113LSep 13 · 17:00M. Chalupa1.8567120D. Szotek1.851111143WSep 13 · 16:00M. Chalupa1.8311911123R. Hudeczek1.837114101LSep 13 · 15:30D. Szotek2.001115113M. Chalupa1.7391380WSep 9 · 21:29M. Chalupa1.9111119133R. Hudeczek1.809911111
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.