TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153911
Played Sep 19Finished
Frantisek Nadymacek
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111191171214711
Michal Chalupa
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:55 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Nadymacek to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Nadymacek above · Michal Chalupa below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 101 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Frantisek Nadymacek at 65.3%
101 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Nadymacek 5–2 Michal Chalupa Michal Chalupa has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:55What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Nadymacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Nadymacek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nadymacek 1701 vs Chalupa 1738
Chalupa
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nadymacek 20% vs Chalupa 100%
Chalupa
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nadymacek 30% vs Chalupa 60%
Chalupa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nadymacek -1 · Chalupa +5
Chalupa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Nadymacek) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupa form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadymacek 1.40 / Chalupa 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Nadymacek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153911
Nadymacek1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 23 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Chalupa2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 73 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back23% 21 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeNadymacek5wins
AwayChalupa2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderNadymacek leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNadymacek80%4 of 5
AwayChalupan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nadymacek5Chalupa2n = 7Nadymacek took 5 of 7
S2Nadymacek5Chalupa2n = 7Nadymacek took 5 of 7
S3Nadymacek5Chalupa2n = 7Nadymacek took 5 of 7
S4Nadymacek1Chalupa3n = 4Chalupa took 3 of 4
S5Nadymacek2Chalupa1n = 3Nadymacek took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricNadymacekChalupaN − CBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match39.736.3+3.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadymacekChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 54 vs 385 / 72761.1%53%33 / 54 vs 385 / 727Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadymacekNadymacek 1.40/Chalupa 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Nadymacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chalupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 31 · 14:30F. Nadymacek331111113M. Chalupa208660
WAug 31 · 10:00F. Nadymacek341111123M. Chalupa2156100
LAug 16 · 16:59F. Nadymacek47811117102M. Chalupa52119911123
LAug 16 · 14:00F. Nadymacek35119871M. Chalupa3851111113
WAug 10 · 15:00F. Nadymacek42311134113M. Chalupa46118111152
WAug 5 · 16:00F. Nadymacek511171111113M. Chalupa4971113992
WJul 23 · 14:00F. Nadymacek361411113M. Chalupa2812970
F. Nadymacek10
WSep 19 · 13:00F. Nadymacek1.83111187113R. Hudeczek1.8388111162LSep 19 · 11:30Z. Pagac2.50111185113F. Nadymacek1.5079111182WSep 19 · 10:00F. Nadymacek1.5311127113R. Hudeczek2.387101181LSep 10 · 16:59M. Grundel1.61101111113F. Nadymacek2.20126991LSep 10 · 16:30L. Velebil1.4451111113F. Nadymacek2.63114751LSep 10 · 15:30F. Nadymacek2.1011135782M. Grundel1.679111111113LSep 10 · 14:30D. Tomica1.671111113F. Nadymacek2.109740LSep 1 · 17:29L. Velebil1.7311119113F. Nadymacek2.00671191WSep 1 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.00811681F. Nadymacek1.7311711113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Nadymacek1.571111123L. Kern2.2565100
M. Chalupa10
WSep 19 · 11:00R. Hudeczek1.737760M. Chalupa2.001111113WSep 19 · 10:30M. Chalupa1.5311812113Z. Pagac2.389111081WSep 17 · 21:28T. Kypr2.101111831M. Chalupa1.6791311113WSep 17 · 20:00M. Holub2.25611951M. Chalupa1.5711811113WSep 17 · 19:00Z. Pagac2.255890M. Chalupa1.571111113LSep 17 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.508950T. Kypr2.501111113LSep 13 · 17:00M. Chalupa1.8567120D. Szotek1.851111143WSep 13 · 16:00M. Chalupa1.8311911123R. Hudeczek1.837114101LSep 13 · 15:30D. Szotek2.001115113M. Chalupa1.7391380LSep 13 · 14:00M. Chalupa1.53121112462Z. Pagac2.381061411113
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