TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Miroslaw Lewczuk vs Arkadiusz Skupinski 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111113119112114
Arkadiusz Skupinski
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:40 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Arkadiusz Skupinski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 92 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 66.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 18–9 Arkadiusz Skupinski Arkadiusz Skupinski has won 9 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:40What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-9 in 27
Lewczuk
Correct
gap of 9 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1361 vs Skupinski 1236
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 40% vs Skupinski 60%
Skupinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 40% vs Skupinski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk -1 · Skupinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Lewczuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skupinski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.44 / Skupinski 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Lewczuk)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13182509
Lewczuk1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 164 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it96% 107 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it82% 127 of 155
Skupinski2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 35 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLewczuk7wins
AwaySkupinski3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLewczuk leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk80%4 of 5
AwaySkupinski40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk5Skupinski5n = 10split evenly
S2Lewczuk5Skupinski5n = 10split evenly
S3Lewczuk7Skupinski3n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S4Lewczuk5Skupinski3n = 8Lewczuk took 5 of 8
S5Lewczuk3Skupinski2n = 5Lewczuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLewczukSkupinskiL − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.739.0+3.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukSkupinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 941 vs 159 / 40751.3%39.1%483 / 941 vs 159 / 407Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukLewczuk 1.44/Skupinski 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 18:55M. Lewczuk539111111113A. Skupinski3911139242
LSep 16 · 16:15M. Lewczuk31810130A. Skupinski381112153
WSep 9 · 18:55M. Lewczuk361411113A. Skupinski3012990
WSep 2 · 18:55M. Lewczuk3911116113A. Skupinski30931171
WAug 19 · 19:40M. Lewczuk50811911113A. Skupinski4211311982
WJun 17 · 23:55M. Lewczuk49119117113A. Skupinski3951191132
WJun 17 · 17:55M. Lewczuk4411913113A. Skupinski409111191
LNov 4 · 03:00M. Lewczuk3812211582A. Skupinski501011711113
WSep 30 · 19:10M. Lewczuk3961111113A. Skupinski33119671
LSep 11 · 19:10M. Lewczuk4891111982A. Skupinski49118811113
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 23 · 17:45M. Lewczuk1.3311571542A. Staniczek3.257111113113WSep 23 · 16:15M. Lewczuk1.671111113K. Delikatny2.107950WSep 23 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.10111188113Z. Nocun1.6799111192LSep 22 · 01:10K. Kwiatkowski1.671112113M. Lewczuk2.1051040LSep 22 · 24:30M. Baran2.0011711113M. Lewczuk1.73911981WSep 21 · 23:50M. Lewczuk1.4431112113M. Karpiuk2.631161041LSep 21 · 22:30M. Lewczuk2.10111011582J. Zelezik1.67612711113LSep 21 · 21:45A. Zmijewski1.611111113M. Lewczuk2.209780LSep 21 · 20:30M. Lewczuk1.40119111092M. Karpiuk2.75511812113WSep 21 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.7312311113M. Baran2.001011651
A. Skupinski10
LSep 23 · 19:40K. Delikatny1.571111133A. Skupinski2.2538110WSep 23 · 18:10A. Skupinski2.63116165113A. Kubiak1.44611141182LSep 23 · 16:35A. Skupinski2.6348121152Z. Nocun1.441111104113WSep 23 · 15:50A. Staniczek2.20109100A. Skupinski1.611211123WSep 16 · 19:40A. Skupinski2.1011811113M. Machelski1.67611541LSep 16 · 18:30A. Skupinski3.2511114492K. Kwiatkowski1.33841111113LSep 16 · 17:20A. Skupinski3.5011811652A. Fomin1.28811911113WSep 16 · 16:15M. Lewczuk1.30810130A. Skupinski3.401112153LSep 16 · 15:25A. Skupinski2.256740M. Baran1.571111113WSep 9 · 19:40K. Delikatny1.44411111352A. Skupinski2.63115915113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lewczuk
Sep 23 · 21:45M. Lewczuk1.33A. Staniczek3.25—Sep 23 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.20Z. Nocun1.61—Sep 24 · 24:10M. Lewczuk1.80A. Kubiak1.91—Sep 24 · 01:00M. Lewczuk1.67J. Skorupa2.10—Sep 24 · 01:45M. Lewczuk1.40K. Delikatny2.75—Sep 24 · 17:30M. Lewczuk—M. Baran——Sep 24 · 19:10M. Lewczuk—D. Molenda——Sep 24 · 19:55M. Lewczuk—Z. Nocun——Sep 24 · 21:55M. Lewczuk—G. Mucha——Sep 24 · 22:40M. Lewczuk—A. Staniczek——
A. Skupinski
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