TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Ruzicka vs Jan Lovl 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Jan Ruzicka
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311511011––––
Jan Lovl
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Lovl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Ruzicka above · Jan Lovl below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 0-11
Point 41 set 3, 0-11 — our read held Jan Lovl at 54.0%
41 points played in total.
H2H Jan Ruzicka 17–18 Jan Lovl Jan Ruzicka has won 17 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:48What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Lovl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-18 in 35
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1599 vs Lovl 1557
Ruzicka
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 60% vs Lovl 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 40% vs Lovl 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +2 · Lovl +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.83 / Lovl 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruzicka)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13180688
Ruzicka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Lovl1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka8wins
AwayLovl2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka100%3 of 3
AwayLovl28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka3Lovl7n = 10Lovl took 7 of 10
S2Ruzicka5Lovl5n = 10split evenly
S3Ruzicka8Lovl2n = 10Ruzicka took 8 of 10
S4Ruzicka6Lovl2n = 8Ruzicka took 6 of 8
S5Ruzicka3Lovl0n = 3Ruzicka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaLovlR − LBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.633.6+4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaLovlBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 447 vs 182 / 35252.4%51.7%234 / 447 vs 182 / 352Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.83/Lovl 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lovl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 08:05J. Ruzicka83500J. Lovl331111113
WSep 19 · 08:05J. Ruzicka3811511113J. Lovl27911251
WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka48591211113J. Lovl43111110472
WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka4391111123J. Lovl341194101
LSep 5 · 13:40J. Ruzicka34711791J. Lovl4011711113
WSep 5 · 11:05J. Ruzicka47861111113J. Lovl4411116972
WAug 30 · 10:05J. Ruzicka3851111113J. Lovl29113691
WAug 22 · 06:35J. Ruzicka3911611113J. Lovl30611941
WAug 15 · 15:05J. Ruzicka331111113J. Lovl205780
WAug 9 · 21:40J. Ruzicka48811117113J. Lovl3611921132
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 23 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.73981116113R. Neterda2.00111161452WSep 23 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.281314123M. Flesar3.501112100LSep 21 · 17:24J. Ruzicka1.806121231R. Neterda1.91111410113WSep 21 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.57159118113R. Neterda2.25131171162LSep 21 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.61781171L. Vosyka2.2011116113LSep 21 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.4481171262J. Jr2.631141110113WSep 20 · 09:08S. Vyskocil1.7311116101J. Ruzicka2.0013911123LSep 20 · 08:35T. Trnka2.1011811113J. Ruzicka1.67911181LSep 20 · 07:35J. Ruzicka1.9111911962S. Vyskocil1.80811711113LSep 20 · 06:05O. Polak1.401111113J. Ruzicka2.757790
J. Lovl10
WSep 23 · 07:35M. Flesar3.251071291J. Lovl1.33121110113LSep 23 · 06:35J. Lovl1.671121161R. Neterda2.1013116113LSep 20 · 17:45R. Fnukal1.53117811113J. Lovl2.3861111892WSep 20 · 16:05D. Hons2.008940J. Lovl1.731111113WSep 20 · 15:35J. Martin2.7562100J. Lovl1.401111123LSep 20 · 14:35J. Lovl2.501111612132R. Fnukal1.50881114153LSep 19 · 09:03J. Lovl1.25711712132M. Flesar3.751191110153LSep 19 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.8311511113J. Lovl1.83911251LSep 19 · 07:35D. Hons2.2091111113J. Lovl1.61116681WSep 19 · 06:35J. Lovl1.251112113M. Flesar3.7581080
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