TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anton Shypilov vs Serhii Berezynskyi 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111210411118511
Serhii Berezynskyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Berezynskyi to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Serhii Berezynskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 92 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Serhii Berezynskyi at 65.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 13–15 Serhii Berezynskyi Anton Shypilov has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Berezynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-15 in 28
Berezynskyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1558 vs Berezynskyi 1613
Berezynskyi
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 80% vs Berezynskyi 60%
Shypilov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 60% vs Berezynskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov +2 · Berezynskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Berezynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shypilov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 2.63 / Berezynskyi 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Berezynskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13180434
Shypilov2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 161 of 361
Down 0–1, comes back29% 57 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back13% 13 of 104
Berezynskyi1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 58 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it75% 42 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov3wins
AwayBerezynskyi7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBerezynskyi leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov66.7%2 of 3
AwayBerezynskyi85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov3Berezynskyi7n = 10Berezynskyi took 7 of 10
S2Shypilov1Berezynskyi9n = 10Berezynskyi took 9 of 10
S3Shypilov4Berezynskyi6n = 10Berezynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Shypilov3Berezynskyi3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovBerezynskyiS − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.937.6−7.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovBerezynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime377 / 826 vs 170 / 34545.6%49.3%377 / 826 vs 170 / 345Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerezynskyiShypilov 2.63/Berezynskyi 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Berezynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Berezynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 23:15A. Shypilov351148121S. Berezynskyi4371111143
WAug 31 · 22:15A. Shypilov41261111113S. Berezynskyi4611117982
LAug 27 · 02:45A. Shypilov134180S. Berezynskyi331111113
LAug 19 · 21:45A. Shypilov2361250S. Berezynskyi361114113
WAug 19 · 01:15A. Shypilov44121011113S. Berezynskyi381012881
LJul 30 · 02:45A. Shypilov219390S. Berezynskyi331111113
LJul 13 · 23:45A. Shypilov32711951S. Berezynskyi3711411113
LJul 10 · 21:00A. Shypilov345711111S. Berezynskyi4411119133
WJul 1 · 21:45A. Shypilov4311911123S. Berezynskyi334118101
LJun 21 · 08:05A. Shypilov136610S. Berezynskyi331111113
A. Shypilov10
WSep 23 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.0071211113O. Napirko1.731110491WSep 21 · 09:38O. Mitla1.83513591A. Shypilov1.83111111113LSep 21 · 08:25A. Shypilov2.10119152112O. Mitla1.676111311133WSep 21 · 07:25N. Kovalchuk1.61411881A. Shypilov2.2011711113WSep 21 · 06:25V. Vlasenko1.671187101A. Shypilov2.1051111123LSep 21 · 04:55O. Hura1.571111113A. Shypilov2.258370LSep 20 · 11:35A. Shypilov2.10491441O. Napirko1.67111112113WSep 20 · 09:35A. Kotyk1.3321111472A. Shypilov3.25119711113LSep 20 · 07:35N. Kovalchuk1.6111119113A. Shypilov2.20351141WSep 20 · 06:35A. Shypilov3.25116138113R. Lazebnyi1.33611111172
S. Berezynskyi10
WSep 23 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.5051261372S. Berezynskyi1.5011101111113LSep 17 · 03:15S. Berezynskyi2.251110114132N. Kovalchuk1.57412811153LSep 17 · 01:15O. Mitla2.5011116133S. Berezynskyi1.509911111WSep 16 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.631148121S. Berezynskyi1.4471111143WSep 16 · 22:15S. Berezynskyi1.67121310113R. Lazebnyi2.1010111271LSep 16 · 21:15O. Hura2.1011911113S. Berezynskyi1.67811861LSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113WSep 5 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi1.5391111113Y. Shmyndra2.38116841WSep 5 · 15:05S. Berezynskyi1.44111142S. Kalenyk2.639840LSep 5 · 13:35S. Berezynskyi1.6168100M. Smyrnov2.201111123
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