TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Valerii Vlasenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1158117111012––
Anton Shypilov
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:41 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeValerii Vlasenko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingValerii Vlasenko above · Anton Shypilov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 75 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Valerii Vlasenko at 55.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Vlasenko 52–48 Anton Shypilov Anton Shypilov has won 48 of their 100 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:41What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vlasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-48 in 100
Vlasenko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vlasenko 1520 vs Shypilov 1530
Shypilov
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vlasenko 0% vs Shypilov 40%
Shypilov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vlasenko 40% vs Shypilov 60%
Shypilov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vlasenko -5 · Shypilov -2
Vlasenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vlasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vlasenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVlasenko 1.67 / Shypilov 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vlasenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13166260
Vlasenko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 38 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it65% 24 of 37
Shypilov2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 161 of 360
Down 0–1, comes back29% 57 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back13% 13 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVlasenko5wins
AwayShypilov5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVlasenko40%2 of 5
AwayShypilov40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vlasenko5Shypilov5n = 10split evenly
S2Vlasenko6Shypilov4n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S3Vlasenko4Shypilov6n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S4Vlasenko5Shypilov4n = 9Vlasenko took 5 of 9
S5Vlasenko2Shypilov1n = 3Vlasenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVlasenkoShypilovV − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.941.6−0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVlasenkoShypilovBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 924 vs 375 / 82344.1%45.6%407 / 924 vs 375 / 823Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VlasenkoVlasenko 1.67/Shypilov 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Vlasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 21 · 06:25V. Vlasenko361187101A. Shypilov3951111123
WSep 18 · 24:45V. Vlasenko47511911113A. Shypilov4711911792
WSep 16 · 24:45V. Vlasenko4491113113A. Shypilov381191171
LSep 13 · 05:35V. Vlasenko4311671182A. Shypilov48811117113
WSep 12 · 02:00V. Vlasenko49811118113A. Shypilov4311971152
LSep 10 · 02:15V. Vlasenko351249101A. Shypilov44101111123
WSep 9 · 02:15V. Vlasenko4111112173A. Shypilov427911151
WSep 2 · 20:45V. Vlasenko331111113A. Shypilov279990
LAug 31 · 20:45V. Vlasenko405119151A. Shypilov4611711173
V. Vlasenko10
LSep 21 · 05:25V. Vlasenko1.9161751272O. Mitla1.8011151110113LSep 19 · 18:35V. Vlasenko2.25611681R. Lazebnyi1.5711811113LSep 19 · 16:35A. Shypilov1.91111410793V. Vlasenko1.80712121162LSep 19 · 15:35V. Vlasenko2.251111861N. Kovalchuk1.5791311113LSep 19 · 14:35V. Boyko1.57111114103V. Vlasenko2.251391251WSep 19 · 13:05V. Vlasenko1.831111123O. Napirko1.8347100WSep 18 · 02:45V. Vlasenko2.50121135113N. Kovalchuk1.50107111182WSep 18 · 24:45A. Shypilov1.9111911792V. Vlasenko1.80511911113LSep 17 · 23:45V. Vlasenko1.8399111272O. Napirko1.831111910113WSep 17 · 22:45O. Mitla1.8011610101V. Vlasenko1.9191112123
A. Shypilov10
WSep 21 · 07:25N. Kovalchuk1.61411881A. Shypilov2.2011711113LSep 21 · 04:55O. Hura1.571111113A. Shypilov2.258370LSep 20 · 11:35A. Shypilov2.10491441O. Napirko1.67111112113WSep 20 · 09:35A. Kotyk1.3321111472A. Shypilov3.25119711113LSep 20 · 07:35N. Kovalchuk1.6111119113A. Shypilov2.20351141WSep 20 · 06:35A. Shypilov3.25116138113R. Lazebnyi1.33611111172WSep 20 · 05:35O. Mitla1.837870A. Shypilov1.831111113LSep 19 · 18:05A. Shypilov1.73811991V. Boyko2.0011711113WSep 19 · 16:35A. Shypilov1.91111410793V. Vlasenko1.80712121162LSep 18 · 24:45A. Shypilov1.9111911792V. Vlasenko1.80511911113
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