TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleksii Mitla
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811711––––
Anton Shypilov
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Mitla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksii Mitla above · Anton Shypilov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Oleksii Mitla at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Mitla 65–49 Anton Shypilov Anton Shypilov has won 49 of their 114 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:17What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Shypilov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
65-49 in 114
Mitla
Wrong
gap of 16 in 114, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mitla 1514 vs Shypilov 1483
Mitla
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mitla 40% vs Shypilov 60%
Shypilov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mitla 60% vs Shypilov 40%
Mitla
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mitla +1 · Shypilov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mitla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitla form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMitla 1.83 / Shypilov 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mitla)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161215
Mitla1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Shypilov1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMitla6wins
AwayShypilov4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMitla leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMitla75%3 of 4
AwayShypilov50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mitla4Shypilov6n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S2Mitla4Shypilov6n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S3Mitla9Shypilov1n = 10Mitla took 9 of 10
S4Mitla4Shypilov6n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S5Mitla3Shypilov2n = 5Mitla took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMitlaShypilovM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.244.9−0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMitlaShypilovBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 793 vs 370 / 81543.4%45.4%344 / 793 vs 370 / 815Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MitlaMitla 1.83/Shypilov 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mitla · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 02:15O. Mitla547111312113A. Shypilov51118111472
WSep 17 · 02:15O. Mitla51146119113A. Shypilov49121181172
LSep 16 · 02:15O. Mitla51119128112A. Shypilov538111011133
WSep 13 · 11:05O. Mitla4061111123A. Shypilov361187101
LSep 12 · 14:35O. Mitla349101141A. Shypilov4311129113
WSep 12 · 24:00O. Mitla47511117133A. Shypilov48116911112
WSep 9 · 20:15O. Mitla47111212123A. Shypilov4391410101
LSep 8 · 20:15O. Mitla274101121A. Shypilov4211128113
WSep 3 · 03:15O. Mitla4411913113A. Shypilov358111151
LSep 2 · 24:45O. Mitla47711811102A. Shypilov49118117123
O. Mitla10
WSep 20 · 07:05A. Kotyk1.3381020O. Mitla3.251112113WSep 18 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83118111472O. Mitla1.837111312113LSep 18 · 01:15O. Mitla2.757118101R. Lazebnyi1.4011611123WSep 18 · 24:15O. Mitla3.2511811113N. Kovalchuk1.33511871LSep 17 · 22:45O. Mitla1.8011610101V. Vlasenko1.9191112123LSep 17 · 20:45O. Mitla3.2567120O. Napirko1.331111143WSep 17 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.91121181172O. Mitla1.80146119113WSep 17 · 01:15O. Mitla2.5011116133S. Berezynskyi1.509911111LSep 17 · 24:15O. Mitla3.00941191R. Lazebnyi1.3611115113WSep 16 · 22:45O. Mitla2.104111111113O. Hura1.6711913942
A. Shypilov10
WSep 20 · 06:35A. Shypilov3.25116138113R. Lazebnyi1.33611111172LSep 19 · 18:05A. Shypilov1.73811991V. Boyko2.0011711113WSep 19 · 16:35A. Shypilov1.91111410793V. Vlasenko1.80712121162WSep 19 · 15:05A. Shypilov2.1081111123O. Napirko1.671197101WSep 19 · 13:35A. Shypilov2.1011911103N. Kovalchuk1.67711891LSep 19 · 12:05A. Shypilov2.754750R. Lazebnyi1.401111113LSep 18 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83118111472O. Mitla1.837111312113LSep 18 · 24:45A. Shypilov1.9111911792V. Vlasenko1.80511911113LSep 17 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.636980R. Lazebnyi1.441111113LSep 17 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.91121181172O. Mitla1.80146119113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.