TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155610
Played Sep 19Finished
Valerii Vlasenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611118611811––
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeRuslan Lazebnyi to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Vlasenko above · Ruslan Lazebnyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Ruslan Lazebnyi at 60.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Vlasenko 2–7 Ruslan Lazebnyi Valerii Vlasenko has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lazebnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Lazebnyi
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vlasenko 1529 vs Lazebnyi 1598
Lazebnyi
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vlasenko 40% vs Lazebnyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vlasenko 40% vs Lazebnyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vlasenko -3 · Lazebnyi -2
Vlasenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Lazebnyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lazebnyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVlasenko 2.25 / Lazebnyi 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Lazebnyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13155610
Vlasenko2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 126 of 307
Down 0–1, comes back22% 34 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 85
Lazebnyi1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 42 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it72% 31 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVlasenko2wins
AwayLazebnyi7wins
4 of 9 to a deciderLazebnyi leads 7–2, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVlasenko40%2 of 5
AwayLazebnyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vlasenko5Lazebnyi4n = 9Vlasenko took 5 of 9
S2Vlasenko4Lazebnyi5n = 9Lazebnyi took 5 of 9
S3Vlasenko2Lazebnyi7n = 9Lazebnyi took 7 of 9
S4Vlasenko3Lazebnyi5n = 8Lazebnyi took 5 of 8
S5Vlasenko1Lazebnyi3n = 4Lazebnyi took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricVlasenkoLazebnyiV − LBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.346.7−7.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVlasenkoLazebnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 921 vs 70 / 14244.2%49.3%407 / 921 vs 70 / 142Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LazebnyiVlasenko 2.25/Lazebnyi 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Lazebnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lazebnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 17 · 21:15V. Vlasenko378111171R. Lazebnyi4311813113
WSep 15 · 23:45V. Vlasenko48123119133R. Lazebnyi481011511112
LAug 31 · 22:45V. Vlasenko28641171R. Lazebnyi3811115113
LAug 26 · 24:15V. Vlasenko38112311112R. Lazebnyi53911119133
LAug 24 · 20:45V. Vlasenko4591571132R. Lazebnyi551113119113
LAug 18 · 24:15V. Vlasenko371169111R. Lazebnyi4381111133
LAug 7 · 01:15V. Vlasenko28131140R. Lazebnyi391513113
WAug 6 · 24:15V. Vlasenko4312146113R. Lazebnyi4210121191
LAug 2 · 11:05V. Vlasenko50121431382R. Lazebnyi5910121115113
V. Vlasenko10
LSep 19 · 16:35A. Shypilov1.91111410793V. Vlasenko1.80712121162LSep 19 · 15:35V. Vlasenko2.251111861N. Kovalchuk1.5791311113LSep 19 · 14:35V. Boyko1.57111114103V. Vlasenko2.251391251WSep 19 · 13:05V. Vlasenko1.831111123O. Napirko1.8347100WSep 18 · 02:45V. Vlasenko2.50121135113N. Kovalchuk1.50107111182WSep 18 · 24:45A. Shypilov1.9111911792V. Vlasenko1.80511911113LSep 17 · 23:45V. Vlasenko1.8399111272O. Napirko1.831111910113WSep 17 · 22:45O. Mitla1.8011610101V. Vlasenko1.9191112123LSep 17 · 21:15V. Vlasenko2.208111171R. Lazebnyi1.6111813113LSep 16 · 02:45V. Vlasenko1.8311511872O. Napirko1.83911511113
R. Lazebnyi10
LSep 19 · 17:35N. Kovalchuk1.6771111113R. Lazebnyi2.10114661LSep 19 · 16:05V. Boyko2.201111912103R. Lazebnyi1.6179111482WSep 19 · 14:05O. Napirko1.911211101082R. Lazebnyi1.801081212103WSep 19 · 12:05A. Shypilov2.754750R. Lazebnyi1.401111113LSep 18 · 03:15R. Lazebnyi1.675690O. Napirko2.101111113WSep 18 · 01:15O. Mitla2.757118101R. Lazebnyi1.4011611123WSep 17 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.636980R. Lazebnyi1.441111113LSep 17 · 22:15R. Lazebnyi2.20101111872N. Kovalchuk1.61126711113WSep 17 · 21:15V. Vlasenko2.208111171R. Lazebnyi1.6111813113LSep 17 · 02:45O. Hura1.80118113133R. Lazebnyi1.91711511112
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.