TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Orest Hura
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118113117––––
Anton Shypilov
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeOrest Hura to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOrest Hura above · Anton Shypilov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 51 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Orest Hura at 59.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Orest Hura 32–38 Anton Shypilov Orest Hura has won 32 of their 70 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:54What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hura
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-38 in 70
Shypilov
Wrong
gap of 6 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hura 1517 vs Shypilov 1512
Hura
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hura 0% vs Shypilov 60%
Shypilov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hura 0% vs Shypilov 60%
Shypilov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hura -10 · Shypilov -1
Hura
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hura)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shypilov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHura 1.57 / Shypilov 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Hura)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13166293
Hura1.57
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
Lost last 10
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 79 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it71% 55 of 77
Shypilov2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 161 of 360
Down 0–1, comes back29% 57 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back13% 13 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHura5wins
AwayShypilov5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHura62.5%5 of 8
AwayShypilovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hura8Shypilov2n = 10Hura took 8 of 10
S2Hura4Shypilov6n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S3Hura7Shypilov3n = 10Hura took 7 of 10
S4Hura3Shypilov4n = 7Shypilov took 4 of 7
S5Hura1Shypilov3n = 4Shypilov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHuraShypilovH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.638.5+2.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuraShypilovBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 780 vs 373 / 82052.1%45.5%406 / 780 vs 373 / 820Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuraHura 1.57/Shypilov 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Hura · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 24:45O. Hura4791171192A. Shypilov48117118113
LSep 11 · 20:30O. Hura371071191A. Shypilov4312119113
WSep 9 · 21:45O. Hura4111811113A. Shypilov31711851
LSep 2 · 21:45O. Hura4411681182A. Shypilov45611116113
WSep 1 · 22:45O. Hura351311113A. Shypilov2811890
WAug 29 · 15:35O. Hura341211113A. Shypilov2610790
LAug 28 · 22:30O. Hura30115771A. Shypilov3851111113
WAug 26 · 24:45O. Hura341211113A. Shypilov2110560
LAug 21 · 20:30O. Hura56119119162A. Shypilov56911711183
WAug 18 · 21:15O. Hura48114148113A. Shypilov49711121182
O. Hura10
LSep 21 · 05:55N. Kovalchuk1.671111113O. Hura2.107870LSep 19 · 11:35O. Hura1.83661181R. Haiseniuk1.8311114103LSep 19 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.1481111113O. Hura5.00115941LSep 19 · 07:35O. Bindas1.13781111113O. Hura5.5011112412LSep 19 · 06:35O. Hura2.63911681D. Shcherbak1.4411711113LSep 19 · 05:35S. Rak1.251111113O. Hura3.756560LSep 18 · 18:35R. Haiseniuk1.8010121210113O. Hura1.911210101292LSep 18 · 17:35D. Shcherbak1.671111113O. Hura2.108780LSep 18 · 16:05I. Kozachuk1.251111113O. Hura3.757750LSep 18 · 14:05Y. Kravets1.3071111113O. Hura3.05119251
A. Shypilov10
WSep 21 · 06:25V. Vlasenko1.671187101A. Shypilov2.1051111123LSep 20 · 11:35A. Shypilov2.10491441O. Napirko1.67111112113WSep 20 · 09:35A. Kotyk1.3321111472A. Shypilov3.25119711113LSep 20 · 07:35N. Kovalchuk1.6111119113A. Shypilov2.20351141WSep 20 · 06:35A. Shypilov3.25116138113R. Lazebnyi1.33611111172WSep 20 · 05:35O. Mitla1.837870A. Shypilov1.831111113LSep 19 · 18:05A. Shypilov1.73811991V. Boyko2.0011711113WSep 19 · 16:35A. Shypilov1.91111410793V. Vlasenko1.80712121162WSep 19 · 15:05A. Shypilov2.1081111123O. Napirko1.671197101WSep 19 · 13:35A. Shypilov2.1011911103N. Kovalchuk1.67711891
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