TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155606
Played Sep 19Finished
Orest Hura
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611114810––
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRuslan Haiseniuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOrest Hura above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 8-10
Point 67 set 4, 8-10 — our read held Ruslan Haiseniuk at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Orest Hura 52–55 Ruslan Haiseniuk Orest Hura has won 52 of their 107 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:32What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Haiseniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-55 in 107
Haiseniuk
Correct
gap of 3 in 107, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hura 1527 vs Haiseniuk 1576
Haiseniuk
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hura 0% vs Haiseniuk 40%
Haiseniuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hura 10% vs Haiseniuk 30%
Haiseniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hura -9 · Haiseniuk +1
Hura
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Haiseniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHura 1.83 / Haiseniuk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Haiseniuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155606
Hura1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Haiseniuk1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHura4wins
AwayHaiseniuk6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHaiseniuk leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHura50%3 of 6
AwayHaiseniuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hura6Haiseniuk4n = 10Hura took 6 of 10
S2Hura5Haiseniuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Hura5Haiseniuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Hura4Haiseniuk5n = 9Haiseniuk took 5 of 9
S5Hura2Haiseniuk3n = 5Haiseniuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHuraHaiseniukHura − HaiseniukBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.741.0+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuraHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime413 / 789 vs 401 / 73952.3%54.3%413 / 789 vs 401 / 739Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HaiseniukHura 1.83/Haiseniuk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Haiseniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Haiseniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 18 · 18:35O. Hura531210101292R. Haiseniuk5510121210113
LJun 20 · 24:00O. Hura325111241R. Haiseniuk3811214113
LJun 16 · 20:45O. Hura45111111572R. Haiseniuk48713611113
LJun 14 · 09:05O. Hura4411119852R. Haiseniuk43821111113
WJun 13 · 17:35O. Hura4211911113R. Haiseniuk29511851
LJun 12 · 22:00O. Hura301111441R. Haiseniuk4213711113
WMay 24 · 08:05O. Hura44111165113R. Haiseniuk4599111152
WMay 23 · 19:05O. Hura51781411113R. Haiseniuk50111112792
WMay 10 · 11:05O. Hura341111123R. Haiseniuk1954100
O. Hura10
LSep 19 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.1481111113O. Hura5.00115941LSep 19 · 07:35O. Bindas1.13781111113O. Hura5.5011112412LSep 19 · 06:35O. Hura2.63911681D. Shcherbak1.4411711113LSep 19 · 05:35S. Rak1.251111113O. Hura3.756560LSep 18 · 18:35R. Haiseniuk1.8010121210113O. Hura1.911210101292LSep 18 · 17:35D. Shcherbak1.671111113O. Hura2.108780LSep 18 · 16:05I. Kozachuk1.251111113O. Hura3.757750LSep 18 · 14:05Y. Kravets1.3071111113O. Hura3.05119251LSep 18 · 12:05O. Bindas1.1471111113O. Hura5.00119371WSep 17 · 02:45O. Hura1.80118113133R. Lazebnyi1.91711511112
R. Haiseniuk10
WSep 19 · 10:05R. Haiseniuk2.6391111113D. Shcherbak1.44118971LSep 19 · 08:05S. Rak1.30111314173R. Haiseniuk3.4081512151LSep 19 · 06:05O. Bindas1.14611115113R. Haiseniuk5.0011251172LSep 19 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.3051112123R. Haiseniuk3.4011310101WSep 18 · 18:35R. Haiseniuk1.8010121210113O. Hura1.911210101292LSep 18 · 16:35O. Bindas1.14119711113R. Haiseniuk5.0051111882LSep 18 · 15:35R. Haiseniuk3.406830D. Shcherbak1.301111113LSep 18 · 14:35I. Kozachuk1.33712511113R. Haiseniuk3.25111011562LSep 18 · 13:05R. Haiseniuk1.535101131Y. Kravets2.3811126113WSep 18 · 02:30D. Pesternikov1.171111991R. Haiseniuk4.5013811113
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