TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148701
Played Sep 18Finished
Ivan Kozachuk
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111210511115116
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeIvan Kozachuk to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Kozachuk above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 89 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Ivan Kozachuk at 75.3%
89 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kozachuk 20–8 Ruslan Haiseniuk Ruslan Haiseniuk has won 8 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kozachuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-8 in 28
Kozachuk
Correct
gap of 12 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kozachuk 1808 vs Haiseniuk 1538
Kozachuk
Correct
both rated, 269 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozachuk 80% vs Haiseniuk 20%
Kozachuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozachuk 60% vs Haiseniuk 40%
Kozachuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozachuk +4 · Haiseniuk -1
Kozachuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kozachuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozachuk 1.33 / Haiseniuk 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kozachuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13148701
Kozachuk1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 106 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it82% 81 of 99
Haiseniuk3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 39 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back22% 16 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKozachuk9wins
AwayHaiseniuk1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKozachuk leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozachuk100%7 of 7
AwayHaiseniuk33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozachuk7Haiseniuk3n = 10Kozachuk took 7 of 10
S2Kozachuk8Haiseniuk2n = 10Kozachuk took 8 of 10
S3Kozachuk6Haiseniuk4n = 10Kozachuk took 6 of 10
S4Kozachuk6Haiseniuk2n = 8Kozachuk took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKozachukHaiseniukK − HBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.333.2+6.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozachukHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime547 / 1097 vs 399 / 73149.9%54.6%547 / 1097 vs 399 / 731Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozachukKozachuk 1.33/Haiseniuk 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Kozachuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kozachuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 24:00I. Kozachuk4491113113R. Haiseniuk371191161
WSep 11 · 24:00I. Kozachuk331111113R. Haiseniuk259790
WSep 5 · 10:35I. Kozachuk4311129113R. Haiseniuk346101171
WSep 4 · 01:00I. Kozachuk331111113R. Haiseniuk206770
WAug 28 · 24:00I. Kozachuk3711411113R. Haiseniuk28811811
WAug 13 · 20:30I. Kozachuk4691111153R. Haiseniuk371167131
WAug 7 · 18:05I. Kozachuk47111177113R. Haiseniuk4678111192
WAug 7 · 01:00I. Kozachuk4113116113R. Haiseniuk381181181
WAug 1 · 05:05I. Kozachuk3611113113R. Haiseniuk28491141
LJul 31 · 12:35I. Kozachuk33981151R. Haiseniuk3911116113
I. Kozachuk10
WSep 19 · 10:35O. Bindas1.5361360I. Kozachuk2.381115113WSep 19 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.1481111113O. Hura5.00115941WSep 19 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.7351111113D. Shcherbak2.00115391LSep 19 · 07:05I. Kozachuk2.388760S. Rak1.531111113WSep 19 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.3051112123R. Haiseniuk3.4011310101LSep 18 · 18:05O. Bindas1.504111173I. Kozachuk2.50119921LSep 18 · 17:05I. Kozachuk1.6171950Y. Kravets2.201121113WSep 18 · 16:05I. Kozachuk1.251111113O. Hura3.757750WSep 18 · 12:35I. Kozachuk1.801211113D. Shcherbak1.9110380WSep 18 · 02:00S. Rak1.531110161072I. Kozachuk2.388121412113
R. Haiseniuk10
WSep 19 · 11:35O. Hura1.83661181R. Haiseniuk1.8311114103WSep 19 · 10:05R. Haiseniuk2.6391111113D. Shcherbak1.44118971LSep 19 · 08:05S. Rak1.30111314173R. Haiseniuk3.4081512151LSep 19 · 06:05O. Bindas1.14611115113R. Haiseniuk5.0011251172LSep 19 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.3051112123R. Haiseniuk3.4011310101WSep 18 · 18:35R. Haiseniuk1.8010121210113O. Hura1.911210101292LSep 18 · 16:35O. Bindas1.14119711113R. Haiseniuk5.0051111882LSep 18 · 15:35R. Haiseniuk3.406830D. Shcherbak1.301111113LSep 18 · 13:05R. Haiseniuk1.535101131Y. Kravets2.3811126113WSep 18 · 02:30D. Pesternikov1.171111991R. Haiseniuk4.5013811113
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