Oleh Bindas vs Orest Hura 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13148515

Played Sep 18Finished

Oleh Bindas

Home

1.14

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

711119113117––

Orest Hura

Away

5.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%

Graded at full time

Oleh Bindas to win

79.4%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingOleh Bindas above · Orest Hura below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-3

Set 4 · 11-7

Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oleh Bindas at 79.4%

70 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:38

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.14 (81%)

Bindas

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Bindas 1802 vs Hura 1593

Bindas

Correct

both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Bindas 80% vs Hura 40%

Bindas

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Bindas 70% vs Hura 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Bindas +2 · Hura +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Bindas) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hura form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBindas 1.14 / Hura 5.00

Signal prob.84% / 16%

Edge (Bindas)+2.8pp

Setka Cup · #13148515

Bindas1.14

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite64% won 136 of 214

Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76

Up 1–0, closes it80% 104 of 130

Hura5.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog40% won 37 of 93

Down 0–1, comes back25% 12 of 48

Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricBindasHuraBasisWin rate · lifetime464 / 727 vs 420 / 79363.8%53%464 / 727 vs 420 / 793Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Bindas

Bindas 1.14/Hura 5.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

84.2%

Bindas · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Bindas won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Bindas10