TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142001
Played Sep 18Finished
Denys Shcherbak
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1121198119111113
Oleh Bindas
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Bindas to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Shcherbak above · Oleh Bindas below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 96 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Oleh Bindas at 70.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Denys Shcherbak 12–28 Oleh Bindas Denys Shcherbak has won 12 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Bindas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-28 in 40
Bindas
Correct
gap of 16 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shcherbak 1694 vs Bindas 1794
Bindas
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shcherbak 40% vs Bindas 80%
Bindas
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shcherbak 40% vs Bindas 70%
Bindas
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shcherbak -2 · Bindas +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Bindas) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShcherbak 3.00 / Bindas 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Bindas)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13142001
Shcherbak3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 99 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back16% 22 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 91
Bindas1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 136 of 214
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it80% 104 of 130
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShcherbak4wins
AwayBindas6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBindas leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShcherbak100%4 of 4
AwayBindas100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shcherbak4Bindas6n = 10Bindas took 6 of 10
S2Shcherbak5Bindas5n = 10split evenly
S3Shcherbak3Bindas7n = 10Bindas took 7 of 10
S4Shcherbak0Bindas4n = 4Bindas took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricShcherbakBindasS − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.735.3−3.6per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShcherbakBindasBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 649 vs 463 / 73051.5%63.4%334 / 649 vs 463 / 730Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BindasShcherbak 3.00/Bindas 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.8%
Bindas · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bindas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 10:05D. Shcherbak187650O. Bindas331111113
WSep 14 · 12:05D. Shcherbak351311113O. Bindas1911440
LSep 13 · 22:00D. Shcherbak27114120O. Bindas381311143
WJul 6 · 01:30D. Shcherbak331111113O. Bindas199550
WJul 4 · 11:05D. Shcherbak531112910113O. Bindas45910111232
LJun 30 · 11:05D. Shcherbak31411971O. Bindas4011711113
LJun 29 · 13:35D. Shcherbak165560O. Bindas331111113
LJun 23 · 10:55D. Shcherbak356111081O. Bindas4311912113
WJun 22 · 15:55D. Shcherbak48135127113O. Bindas501111101172
LJun 16 · 08:35D. Shcherbak215970O. Bindas331111113
D. Shcherbak10
LSep 18 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.831111123D. Shcherbak1.8384100LSep 17 · 23:00S. Rak1.611111113D. Shcherbak2.202580WSep 17 · 22:00D. Shcherbak1.331111113R. Haiseniuk3.258990LSep 17 · 21:00D. Pesternikov1.33111176153D. Shcherbak3.25541111132WSep 15 · 11:05D. Pesternikov1.28991181D. Shcherbak3.5011118113LSep 15 · 10:05O. Bindas1.401111113D. Shcherbak2.757650LSep 15 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.83115139113D. Shcherbak1.83511111192LSep 15 · 06:35S. Rak1.671111113D. Shcherbak2.102980WSep 15 · 04:35I. Romaniak2.006890D. Shcherbak1.731111113WSep 14 · 18:35D. Pesternikov1.281011121142D. Shcherbak3.50129147113
O. Bindas10
WSep 18 · 01:30O. Bindas1.13111112113R. Haiseniuk5.50831451LSep 17 · 23:30D. Pesternikov1.911311113O. Bindas1.8011990WSep 17 · 21:30S. Rak3.0010911111O. Bindas1.3612119133WSep 17 · 20:30I. Kozachuk2.63135651O. Bindas1.44111111113WSep 15 · 11:35S. Rak2.75211491O. Bindas1.4011911113WSep 15 · 10:05O. Bindas1.401111113D. Shcherbak2.757650WSep 15 · 08:05D. Pesternikov1.80861111O. Bindas1.9111114113LSep 15 · 06:05I. Romaniak2.6311117143O. Bindas1.448511121LSep 15 · 05:05I. Kozachuk2.501111113O. Bindas1.509880WSep 14 · 18:05O. Bindas1.4491111123I. Kozachuk2.631136101
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