TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lukas Kern vs David Szotek 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Lukas Kern
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1185111151012811
David Szotek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
How it is goingLukas Kern above · David Szotek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11
92 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Kern 8–6 David Szotek David Szotek has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kern beat Szotek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kern)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szotek form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKern 1.61 / Szotek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Kern)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13179648
Kern1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 61 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Szotek2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 46 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back28% 16 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKern7wins
AwaySzotek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKern leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKern100%4 of 4
AwaySzotek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kern4Szotek6n = 10Szotek took 6 of 10
S2Kern5Szotek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kern8Szotek2n = 10Kern took 8 of 10
S4Kern4Szotek3n = 7Kern took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKernSzotekK − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.333.4+3.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKernSzotekBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 273 vs 151 / 35051.3%43.1%140 / 273 vs 151 / 350Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KernKern 1.61/Szotek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Kern · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szotek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 16:30L. Kern43115115113D. Szotek4271151182
WSep 10 · 20:30L. Kern3741111113D. Szotek30119731
LSep 9 · 20:58L. Kern2871290D. Szotek361114113
WSep 9 · 20:30L. Kern3631111113D. Szotek26116451
LSep 9 · 15:00L. Kern3911111071D. Szotek4313712113
WAug 31 · 10:30L. Kern48741412113D. Szotek531111121092
WAug 19 · 21:30L. Kern331111113D. Szotek185760
WAug 19 · 19:30L. Kern3811511113D. Szotek26211851
WAug 16 · 13:29L. Kern351311113D. Szotek2011450
LAug 16 · 10:00L. Kern36971191D. Szotek4011117113
L. Kern10
WSep 22 · 16:30D. Szotek2.2571151182L. Kern1.57115115113LSep 22 · 15:30L. Kern2.0041151142M. Chalupa1.73117113113LSep 22 · 14:30F. Nadymacek1.441412113L. Kern2.63121080LSep 15 · 16:58T. Kypr1.53711611113L. Kern2.3811211792LSep 15 · 16:00L. Kern2.63117961T. Kypr1.4481111113WSep 15 · 15:30Z. Pagac3.257590L. Kern1.331111113LSep 15 · 14:00L. Kern1.505380M. Holub2.501111113LSep 10 · 21:29V. Burdik1.33631111113L. Kern3.2511115972WSep 10 · 20:30D. Szotek1.91119731L. Kern1.8041111113LSep 10 · 19:30L. Kern2.7571240V. Burdik1.401114113
D. Szotek10
LSep 22 · 16:30D. Szotek2.2571151182L. Kern1.57115115113LSep 22 · 15:00D. Szotek2.759950F. Nadymacek1.401111113LSep 22 · 14:00M. Chalupa1.611111113D. Szotek2.207360LSep 21 · 20:58Z. Pagac1.7331111113D. Szotek2.00116981LSep 21 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.7311520113D. Szotek2.006111871LSep 21 · 19:00R. Hudeczek2.101111113D. Szotek1.679580LSep 21 · 18:30D. Szotek1.919780Z. Pagac1.801111113WSep 13 · 17:00M. Chalupa1.8567120D. Szotek1.851111143LSep 13 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.101411113D. Szotek1.6712540LSep 10 · 20:30D. Szotek1.91119731L. Kern1.8041111113
Upcoming Matches
L. Kern
D. Szotek
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.