TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Adam Svoboda vs Petr Picek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911411––––
Petr Picek
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timePetr Picek to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Petr Picek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 55 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Petr Picek at 68.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 2–11 Petr Picek Adam Svoboda has won 2 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:43What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Picek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-11 in 13
Picek
Correct
gap of 9 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1454 vs Picek 1474
Picek
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 0% vs Picek 60%
Picek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 30% vs Picek 70%
Picek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda -6 · Picek +1
Svoboda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Picek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 2.63 / Picek 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Picek)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178615
Svoboda2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 44 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back18% 12 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39
Picek1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 74 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it80% 56 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvoboda2wins
AwayPicek8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPicek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda25%1 of 4
AwayPicek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda4Picek6n = 10Picek took 6 of 10
S2Svoboda4Picek6n = 10Picek took 6 of 10
S3Svoboda2Picek8n = 10Picek took 8 of 10
S4Svoboda3Picek4n = 7Picek took 4 of 7
S5Svoboda1Picek2n = 3Picek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvobodaPicekS − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.239.7−6.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaPicekBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 343 vs 282 / 55752.5%50.6%180 / 343 vs 282 / 557Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PicekSvoboda 2.63/Picek 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68%
Picek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Picek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 01:00A. Svoboda197660P. Picek331111113
LSep 16 · 02:30A. Svoboda27117721P. Picek4181111113
LAug 18 · 23:00A. Svoboda31912641P. Picek43111011113
LJul 14 · 01:30A. Svoboda4011361192P. Picek47511119113
LApr 25 · 24:30A. Svoboda1861020P. Picek341112113
LApr 4 · 01:30A. Svoboda32811671P. Picek4111811113
WMar 21 · 02:00A. Svoboda521011911113P. Picek4312711672
LMar 14 · 01:00A. Svoboda46152811102P. Picek541311117123
WDec 30 · 02:30A. Svoboda331111113P. Picek236890
LDec 14 · 04:30A. Svoboda34881171P. Picek3811115113
A. Svoboda10
LSep 24 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.674590O. Kucirek2.101111113LSep 24 · 24:00J. Jnr1.3661111113A. Svoboda3.00114771LSep 23 · 22:30T. Andrle1.44119818113A. Svoboda2.63311111662LSep 22 · 02:30J. Jnr1.441111113A. Svoboda2.635880LSep 22 · 01:00P. Picek1.531111113A. Svoboda2.387660LSep 21 · 23:30A. Svoboda2.251560T. Andrle1.571111113LSep 21 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.80911571J. Steffan1.9111911113WSep 19 · 03:30M. Placek1.618860A. Svoboda2.201111113LSep 19 · 02:30M. Placek1.911111113A. Svoboda1.809790WSep 19 · 01:00D. Horak2.2057111142A. Svoboda1.61111165113
P. Picek10
WSep 23 · 23:30P. Picek1.736111112113T. Andrle2.00111351072LSep 23 · 22:00P. Picek3.5061161382O. Kucirek1.281141111113WSep 22 · 02:58T. Andrle1.802650P. Picek1.911111113LSep 22 · 02:00P. Picek1.804380J. Steffan1.911111113WSep 22 · 01:00P. Picek1.531111113A. Svoboda2.387660LSep 22 · 24:00J. Jnr1.8091211113P. Picek1.911110991WSep 21 · 22:30T. Andrle1.6791171152P. Picek2.10119119113WSep 17 · 03:30P. Picek1.7311311133M. Smrcek2.007113111WSep 17 · 02:00P. Picek1.80611117113M. Smrcek1.9111871152WSep 17 · 01:00P. Picek1.4091111123R. Bartunek2.751179101
Upcoming Matches
A. Svoboda
Nothing scheduled
P. Picek
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