TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartosz Czerwinski vs Rafal Stapor 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Bartosz Czerwinski
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1191012711811––
Rafal Stapor
Away
2.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:33 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1191012711811––
H2H Bartosz Czerwinski 10–1 Rafal Stapor Rafal Stapor has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:33What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (60%)
Czerwinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-1 in 11
Czerwinski
Wrong
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Czerwinski 1553 vs Stapor 1480
Czerwinski
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Czerwinski 60% vs Stapor 80%
Stapor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Czerwinski 60% vs Stapor 80%
Stapor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Czerwinski +2 · Stapor -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Czerwinski) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCzerwinski 1.52 / Stapor 2.30
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Czerwinski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13177037
Czerwinski1.52
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 96 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it85% 67 of 79
Stapor2.30
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 101 of 287
Down 0–1, comes back17% 30 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCzerwinski9wins
AwayStapor1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCzerwinski100%4 of 4
AwayStapor16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Czerwinski4Stapor6n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S2Czerwinski7Stapor3n = 10Czerwinski took 7 of 10
S3Czerwinski6Stapor4n = 10Czerwinski took 6 of 10
S4Czerwinski5Stapor2n = 7Czerwinski took 5 of 7
S5Czerwinski5Stapor0n = 5Czerwinski took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCzerwinskiStaporC − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.0+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCzerwinskiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime492 / 1036 vs 688 / 121847.5%56.5%492 / 1036 vs 688 / 1218Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiCzerwinski 1.52/Stapor 2.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.6%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 03:25B. Czerwinski331111113R. Stapor227960
LSep 16 · 12:40B. Czerwinski247980R. Stapor331111113
WSep 14 · 04:30B. Czerwinski4212118113R. Stapor341041191
WSep 11 · 11:25B. Czerwinski331111113R. Stapor248970
WSep 9 · 07:15B. Czerwinski3941113113R. Stapor341141181
WSep 3 · 10:35B. Czerwinski49611813113R. Stapor50118111192
WJun 23 · 07:15B. Czerwinski40113114113R. Stapor4581181172
WJun 23 · 04:50B. Czerwinski44921111113R. Stapor4511117882
WJun 22 · 07:15B. Czerwinski45711511113R. Stapor3711811432
WJun 22 · 04:50B. Czerwinski49811118113R. Stapor4611781192
B. Czerwinski10
WSep 22 · 14:40P. Blocho1.956970B. Czerwinski1.751111113WSep 22 · 13:30B. Czerwinski2.4091111113D. Solilo1.50117361LSep 22 · 12:15A. Sobel1.76911512113B. Czerwinski1.90119111062WSep 22 · 11:00J. Zochniak1.8014630B. Czerwinski1.901611113LSep 22 · 09:25B. Sulkowski1.83111011113B. Czerwinski1.83912841WSep 21 · 14:20D. Solilo1.80111151042B. Czerwinski1.86551112113WSep 21 · 13:30P. Blocho1.888158111B. Czerwinski1.82111311133WSep 21 · 11:25M. Zwolinski2.551110751B. Czerwinski1.4281211113LSep 21 · 10:35F. Krcil3.2011811113B. Czerwinski1.30311461LSep 21 · 09:00A. Sobel1.951111113B. Czerwinski1.749720
R. Stapor10
WSep 23 · 04:30R. Stapor1.4091111113M. Lukaszewski2.65117841LSep 22 · 08:10R. Stapor1.40811771M. Lukaszewski2.7511511113WSep 22 · 06:30B. Wisniewski3.15911751R. Stapor1.3011911113WSep 22 · 05:40A. Sobel1.728420R. Stapor2.001111113WSep 22 · 04:55R. Stapor1.85114117113B. Sulkowski1.8071181172WSep 22 · 03:50R. Stapor1.451211113D. Wrobel2.5010760WSep 21 · 08:10R. Stapor1.501291111113M. Lukaszewski2.3514117992WSep 21 · 06:30B. Wisniewski2.809780R. Stapor1.361111113WSep 21 · 05:40M. Zwolinski2.854690R. Stapor1.361111113WSep 21 · 04:55R. Stapor1.751111113F. Krcil1.906590
Upcoming Matches
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