TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Frantisek Krcil
Home
3.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113811114116––
Bartosz Czerwinski
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:26 and never touched — 65.6% is still 65.6%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
65.6%
65.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
113811114116––
H2H Frantisek Krcil 20–25 Bartosz Czerwinski Frantisek Krcil has won 20 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:26What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Czerwinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-25 in 45
Czerwinski
Wrong
gap of 5 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krcil 1361 vs Czerwinski 1521
Czerwinski
Wrong
both rated, 160 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krcil 20% vs Czerwinski 60%
Czerwinski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krcil 20% vs Czerwinski 70%
Czerwinski
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krcil -2 · Czerwinski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Czerwinski) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Czerwinski form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 3.20 / Czerwinski 1.30
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Czerwinski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13167455
Krcil3.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog15% won 3 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Czerwinski1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 94 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it85% 66 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrcil3wins
AwayCzerwinski7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrcil33.3%2 of 6
AwayCzerwinski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krcil6Czerwinski4n = 10Krcil took 6 of 10
S2Krcil5Czerwinski5n = 10split evenly
S3Krcil4Czerwinski6n = 10Czerwinski took 6 of 10
S4Krcil2Czerwinski4n = 6Czerwinski took 4 of 6
S5Krcil0Czerwinski3n = 3Czerwinski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrcilCzerwinskiK − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.538.0−3.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilCzerwinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 416 vs 492 / 103744.5%47.4%185 / 416 vs 492 / 1037Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiKrcil 3.20/Czerwinski 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.3%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krcil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 06:30F. Krcil3811631172B. Czerwinski50911118113
WSep 14 · 08:10F. Krcil331111113B. Czerwinski205690
LJan 15 · 10:30F. Krcil4791411852B. Czerwinski511112611113
LJan 15 · 06:45F. Krcil47111187102B. Czerwinski50791111123
LJan 6 · 09:20F. Krcil229940B. Czerwinski331111113
WDec 31 · 04:55F. Krcil381611113B. Czerwinski3214990
LDec 16 · 07:10F. Krcil33116881B. Czerwinski3961111113
WNov 27 · 04:30F. Krcil4071111113B. Czerwinski33117871
LNov 11 · 10:55F. Krcil32114981B. Czerwinski3961111113
LNov 4 · 12:05F. Krcil155460B. Czerwinski331111113
F. Krcil10
LSep 21 · 09:50D. Solilo1.30115115123F. Krcil3.25611611102LSep 21 · 08:35M. Zwolinski2.251111113F. Krcil1.573680WSep 21 · 07:20F. Krcil1.76611118113M. Lukaszewski1.9011951152LSep 21 · 06:05A. Sobel1.331111113F. Krcil2.955360LSep 21 · 04:55R. Stapor1.751111113F. Krcil1.906590WSep 21 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.15861151F. Krcil1.5511116113LSep 17 · 14:40F. Krcil3.106760D. Kosmal1.321111113LSep 17 · 13:05F. Krcil1.917710R. Stapor1.741111113LSep 17 · 11:50F. Krcil2.6511991182J. Zochniak1.38811119113LSep 17 · 10:10F. Krcil1.848620W. Suchecki1.871111113
B. Czerwinski10
LSep 21 · 09:00A. Sobel1.951111113B. Czerwinski1.749720WSep 18 · 14:20B. Czerwinski1.90119116113J. Zochniak1.7671191172WSep 18 · 12:40B. Mleczko2.00101171182B. Czerwinski1.70126118113WSep 18 · 11:50W. Gronowski2.75103100B. Czerwinski1.371211123LSep 18 · 11:00B. Czerwinski1.9396111182M. Minda1.78111175113LSep 18 · 09:50B. Czerwinski1.2871060J. Przewlocki3.401112113WSep 17 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.30111175113K. Klocek3.0095111132WSep 17 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.45911118113F. Krcil2.5611631172WSep 17 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.30711611113B. Wisniewski3.2211811292WSep 17 · 04:10W. Suchecki4.05119581B. Czerwinski1.1871111113
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