TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Mariusz Zwolinski
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113116118––––
Frantisek Krcil
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:17 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeMariusz Zwolinski to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
113116118––––
H2H Mariusz Zwolinski 0–2 Frantisek Krcil Mariusz Zwolinski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Krcil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zwolinski 1257 vs Krcil 1386
Krcil
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zwolinski 40% vs Krcil 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zwolinski 40% vs Krcil 20%
Zwolinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zwolinski -3 · Krcil +1
Zwolinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Krcil) · live re-read · sealed at 29% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krcil form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZwolinski 2.25 / Krcil 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Krcil)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13166852
Zwolinski2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 49 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Krcil1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZwolinski0wins
AwayKrcil2wins
Krcil leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricZwolinskiKrcilZ − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match20.533.0−12.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZwolinskiKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 373 vs 185 / 41436.5%44.7%136 / 373 vs 185 / 414Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrcilZwolinski 2.25/Krcil 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Krcil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zwolinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LFeb 11 · 15:20M. Zwolinski176380F. Krcil331111113
LFeb 11 · 07:30M. Zwolinski249870F. Krcil331111113
M. Zwolinski10
LSep 21 · 09:25M. Zwolinski3.501141051P. Blocho1.2581112113LSep 21 · 06:55M. Zwolinski3.70116751A. Sobel1.1691111113LSep 21 · 05:40M. Zwolinski2.854690R. Stapor1.361111113LSep 21 · 04:10M. Zwolinski1.839690B. Wisniewski1.871111113WSep 21 · 03:00M. Zwolinski2.101111143M. Lukaszewski1.6084120WSep 19 · 14:40M. Durda1.0411118552M. Zwolinski6.00961111113LSep 19 · 13:30M. Zwolinski1.9011971192A. Szoltysek1.75811118113LSep 19 · 12:15W. Suchecki1.859111113113M. Zwolinski1.80111361162WSep 19 · 11:00D. Poloszczanski1.86810111132M. Zwolinski1.80111256113WSep 19 · 09:25J. Rolak1.85811891M. Zwolinski1.8511911113
F. Krcil10
WSep 21 · 07:20F. Krcil1.76611118113M. Lukaszewski1.9011951152LSep 21 · 06:05A. Sobel1.331111113F. Krcil2.955360LSep 21 · 04:55R. Stapor1.751111113F. Krcil1.906590WSep 21 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.15861151F. Krcil1.5511116113LSep 17 · 14:40F. Krcil3.106760D. Kosmal1.321111113LSep 17 · 13:05F. Krcil1.917710R. Stapor1.741111113LSep 17 · 11:50F. Krcil2.6511991182J. Zochniak1.38811119113LSep 17 · 10:10F. Krcil1.848620W. Suchecki1.871111113LSep 17 · 09:00F. Krcil2.2012119452M. Minda1.621041111113LSep 17 · 08:10F. Krcil1.4311471182B. Wisniewski2.50911115113
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