TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Mariusz Zwolinski
Home
2.55
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1181012711511––
Bartosz Czerwinski
Away
1.42
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1181012711511––
H2H Mariusz Zwolinski 0–2 Bartosz Czerwinski Mariusz Zwolinski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (64%)
Czerwinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zwolinski 1269 vs Czerwinski 1503
Czerwinski
Correct
both rated, 234 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zwolinski 20% vs Czerwinski 60%
Czerwinski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zwolinski 30% vs Czerwinski 60%
Czerwinski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zwolinski -2 · Czerwinski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Czerwinski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Czerwinski form (60%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZwolinski 2.55 / Czerwinski 1.42
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Czerwinski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13167450
Zwolinski2.55
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 49 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Czerwinski1.42
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 94 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it85% 66 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZwolinski0wins
AwayCzerwinski2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricZwolinskiCzerwinskiZ − CBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match40.548.5−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZwolinskiCzerwinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 376 vs 492 / 103836.4%47.4%137 / 376 vs 492 / 1038Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiZwolinski 2.55/Czerwinski 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 16 · 14:20M. Zwolinski4381111582B. Czerwinski49118811113
LSep 7 · 03:25M. Zwolinski3871161132B. Czerwinski48117118113
M. Zwolinski10
LSep 21 · 10:10A. Sobel1.30711115113M. Zwolinski3.0511881192LSep 21 · 09:25M. Zwolinski3.501141051P. Blocho1.2581112113WSep 21 · 08:35M. Zwolinski2.251111113F. Krcil1.573680LSep 21 · 06:55M. Zwolinski3.70116751A. Sobel1.1691111113LSep 21 · 05:40M. Zwolinski2.854690R. Stapor1.361111113LSep 21 · 04:10M. Zwolinski1.839690B. Wisniewski1.871111113WSep 21 · 03:00M. Zwolinski2.101111143M. Lukaszewski1.6084120WSep 19 · 14:40M. Durda1.0411118552M. Zwolinski6.00961111113LSep 19 · 13:30M. Zwolinski1.9011971192A. Szoltysek1.75811118113LSep 19 · 12:15W. Suchecki1.859111113113M. Zwolinski1.80111361162
B. Czerwinski10
LSep 21 · 10:35F. Krcil3.2011811113B. Czerwinski1.30311461LSep 21 · 09:00A. Sobel1.951111113B. Czerwinski1.749720WSep 18 · 14:20B. Czerwinski1.90119116113J. Zochniak1.7671191172WSep 18 · 12:40B. Mleczko2.00101171182B. Czerwinski1.70126118113WSep 18 · 11:50W. Gronowski2.75103100B. Czerwinski1.371211123LSep 18 · 11:00B. Czerwinski1.9396111182M. Minda1.78111175113LSep 18 · 09:50B. Czerwinski1.2871060J. Przewlocki3.401112113WSep 17 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.30111175113K. Klocek3.0095111132WSep 17 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.45911118113F. Krcil2.5611631172WSep 17 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.30711611113B. Wisniewski3.2211811292
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