TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Huk vs Jakub Kycelt 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Martin Huk
Home
2.55
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012511––––
Jakub Kycelt
Away
1.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kycelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Jakub Kycelt below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 56 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jakub Kycelt at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Martin Huk 14–21 Jakub Kycelt Martin Huk has won 14 of their 35 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Huk beat Kycelt 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:55What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (64%)
Kycelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-21 in 35
Kycelt
Correct
gap of 7 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1882 vs Kycelt 1814
Huk
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 100% vs Kycelt 80%
Huk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 80% vs Kycelt 60%
Huk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk +5 · Kycelt -1
Huk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kycelt) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kycelt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 2.55 / Kycelt 1.45
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Kycelt)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13174358
Huk2.55
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 117 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back26% 40 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 76
Kycelt1.45
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 34 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHuk4wins
AwayKycelt6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKycelt leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuk75%3 of 4
AwayKycelt83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk4Kycelt6n = 10Kycelt took 6 of 10
S2Huk3Kycelt7n = 10Kycelt took 7 of 10
S3Huk6Kycelt4n = 10Huk took 6 of 10
S4Huk5Kycelt2n = 7Huk took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHukKyceltH − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.437.3−3.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukKyceltBasisWin rate · lifetime792 / 1614 vs 166 / 33049.1%50.3%792 / 1614 vs 166 / 330Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyceltHuk 2.55/Kycelt 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Kycelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kycelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 02:30M. Huk371111153J. Kycelt3098130
WSep 2 · 21:28M. Huk3741111113J. Kycelt32116871
LSep 2 · 18:00M. Huk238780J. Kycelt331111113
WSep 2 · 24:30M. Huk4011612113J. Kycelt378111081
LJul 8 · 18:30M. Huk4511591192J. Kycelt49811118113
LJun 1 · 16:00M. Huk31931181J. Kycelt4011117113
LMay 27 · 03:30M. Huk24371131J. Kycelt4211119113
LMay 27 · 01:30M. Huk3951281132J. Kycelt491110116113
WApr 3 · 06:30M. Huk4211812113J. Kycelt281111061
LApr 2 · 18:30M. Huk169250J. Kycelt331111113
M. Huk10
WSep 22 · 02:30J. Kycelt1.5398130M. Huk2.381111153WSep 22 · 01:00M. Wagner2.5073120M. Huk1.501111143WSep 21 · 23:30M. Huk1.619121112113R. Urbaniec2.20111051482WSep 21 · 22:00M. Huk1.6181111113O. Svacha2.20114831WSep 21 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.805990M. Huk1.901111113LSep 21 · 16:00M. Huk2.1031140P. Bradach1.671113113WSep 21 · 15:30J. Kanera1.7339110M. Huk2.001111133WSep 21 · 14:00M. Huk1.807101111113O. Kolisnyk1.9111128992LSep 17 · 17:30M. Huk1.57411581O. Kolisnyk2.2511711113WSep 17 · 16:00M. Huk2.00612116113J. Kanera1.73111091192
J. Kycelt10
LSep 22 · 02:30J. Kycelt1.5398130M. Huk2.381111153WSep 22 · 01:30R. Urbaniec2.5011691162J. Kycelt1.50511115113WSep 22 · 24:00J. Kycelt1.2261115123M. Wagner4.0011713101WSep 21 · 23:00O. Svacha2.251111711102J. Kycelt1.57381113123WSep 10 · 16:58J. Kycelt1.441111118113O. Kolisnyk2.6313691152WSep 10 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk2.385990J. Kycelt1.531111113LSep 10 · 15:00P. Gireth1.36127117113J. Kycelt3.00101181142LSep 10 · 14:30J. Kycelt1.61671441J. Kanera2.20111112113WSep 7 · 21:30J. Kycelt1.831111123M. Zahradka1.8383100LSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113
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