TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Kycelt vs Martin Huk 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Jakub Kycelt
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9118111315––––
Martin Huk
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Huk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kycelt above · Martin Huk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 67 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Martin Huk at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kycelt 21–13 Martin Huk Martin Huk has won 13 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:15What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kycelt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-13 in 34
Kycelt
Wrong
gap of 8 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kycelt 1836 vs Huk 1860
Huk
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kycelt 100% vs Huk 80%
Kycelt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kycelt 70% vs Huk 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kycelt +5 · Huk +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kycelt) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Huk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKycelt 1.53 / Huk 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kycelt)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168383
Kycelt1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 34 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Huk2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 117 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back26% 40 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKycelt7wins
AwayHuk3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKycelt leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKycelt85.7%6 of 7
AwayHuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kycelt7Huk3n = 10Kycelt took 7 of 10
S2Kycelt8Huk2n = 10Kycelt took 8 of 10
S3Kycelt5Huk5n = 10split evenly
S4Kycelt2Huk5n = 7Huk took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKyceltHukK − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.631.4+6.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyceltHukBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 329 vs 791 / 161350.5%49%166 / 329 vs 791 / 1613Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyceltKycelt 1.53/Huk 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Kycelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Huk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt32116871M. Huk3741111113
WSep 2 · 18:00J. Kycelt331111113M. Huk238780
LSep 2 · 24:30J. Kycelt378111081M. Huk4011612113
WJul 8 · 18:30J. Kycelt49811118113M. Huk4511591192
WJun 1 · 16:00J. Kycelt4011117113M. Huk31931181
WMay 27 · 03:30J. Kycelt4211119113M. Huk24371131
WMay 27 · 01:30J. Kycelt491110116113M. Huk3951281132
LApr 3 · 06:30J. Kycelt281111061M. Huk4211812113
WApr 2 · 18:30J. Kycelt331111113M. Huk169250
WMar 25 · 22:30J. Kycelt331111113M. Huk174670
J. Kycelt10
WSep 22 · 03:30M. Huk2.5571050J. Kycelt1.451112113WSep 22 · 01:30R. Urbaniec2.5011691162J. Kycelt1.50511115113WSep 22 · 24:00J. Kycelt1.2261115123M. Wagner4.0011713101WSep 21 · 23:00O. Svacha2.251111711102J. Kycelt1.57381113123WSep 10 · 16:58J. Kycelt1.441111118113O. Kolisnyk2.6313691152WSep 10 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk2.385990J. Kycelt1.531111113LSep 10 · 15:00P. Gireth1.36127117113J. Kycelt3.00101181142LSep 10 · 14:30J. Kycelt1.61671441J. Kanera2.20111112113WSep 7 · 21:30J. Kycelt1.831111123M. Zahradka1.8383100LSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113
M. Huk10
LSep 22 · 03:30M. Huk2.5571050J. Kycelt1.451112113WSep 22 · 01:00M. Wagner2.5073120M. Huk1.501111143WSep 21 · 23:30M. Huk1.619121112113R. Urbaniec2.20111051482WSep 21 · 22:00M. Huk1.6181111113O. Svacha2.20114831WSep 21 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.805990M. Huk1.901111113LSep 21 · 16:00M. Huk2.1031140P. Bradach1.671113113WSep 21 · 15:30J. Kanera1.7339110M. Huk2.001111133WSep 21 · 14:00M. Huk1.807101111113O. Kolisnyk1.9111128992LSep 17 · 17:30M. Huk1.57411581O. Kolisnyk2.2511711113WSep 17 · 16:00M. Huk2.00612116113J. Kanera1.73111091192
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