TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitaliy Zharskiy vs Ihor Sukovatyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161311117––––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitaliy Zharskiy above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 59 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 69.5%
59 points played in total.
H2H Vitaliy Zharskiy 15–24 Ihor Sukovatyi Vitaliy Zharskiy has won 15 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:06What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sukovatyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-24 in 39
Sukovatyi
Wrong
gap of 9 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zharskiy 1650 vs Sukovatyi 1717
Sukovatyi
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zharskiy 40% vs Sukovatyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zharskiy 50% vs Sukovatyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zharskiy +2 · Sukovatyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Sukovatyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZharskiy 2.75 / Sukovatyi 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13173428
Zharskiy2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 47 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Sukovatyi1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 173 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it97% 95 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it82% 135 of 164
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZharskiy3wins
AwaySukovatyi7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZharskiy75%3 of 4
AwaySukovatyi100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zharskiy4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S2Zharskiy4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S3Zharskiy3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S4Zharskiy1Sukovatyi3n = 4Sukovatyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZharskiySukovatyiZ − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.837.2−6.4per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZharskiySukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 548 vs 284 / 52249.8%54.4%273 / 548 vs 284 / 522Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiZharskiy 2.75/Sukovatyi 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zharskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 01:00V. Zharskiy351113113I. Sukovatyi2461170
LSep 10 · 08:35V. Zharskiy148330I. Sukovatyi331111113
LSep 9 · 15:05V. Zharskiy145540I. Sukovatyi331111113
LJul 16 · 06:05V. Zharskiy175840I. Sukovatyi331111113
LJul 15 · 13:35V. Zharskiy49712117122I. Sukovatyi551110911143
LJul 14 · 20:00V. Zharskiy441118691I. Sukovatyi4972011113
LJun 18 · 05:05V. Zharskiy34415871I. Sukovatyi46111311113
LJun 13 · 21:45V. Zharskiy165470I. Sukovatyi331111113
WJun 9 · 21:30V. Zharskiy511181011113I. Sukovatyi4161112572
WJun 4 · 08:35V. Zharskiy341211113I. Sukovatyi2510690
V. Zharskiy10
WSep 23 · 24:00V. Zharskiy1.611211113B. Chaikovskyi2.2010670WSep 22 · 22:30V. Zharskiy1.6111614113O. Pohonov2.207111291LSep 22 · 20:30V. Zharskiy2.631191011102A. Romanenko1.44811126123LSep 10 · 10:35S. Maksymiv1.4014168113V. Zharskiy2.7512141191LSep 10 · 09:35V. Zharskiy2.63512981A. Romanenko1.44111011113LSep 10 · 08:35V. Zharskiy2.638330I. Sukovatyi1.441111113WSep 10 · 07:05V. Zharskiy1.611111113B. Chaikovskyi2.206460WSep 10 · 05:05V. Zharskiy1.731111113O. Pohonov2.009840LSep 9 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.5010860A. Romanenko1.501211113WSep 9 · 16:35V. Zharskiy1.9111811113O. Pohonov1.80911671
I. Sukovatyi10
WSep 22 · 23:00G. Kuzmenko2.101012671I. Sukovatyi1.67121011113WSep 22 · 22:00I. Sukovatyi1.83111238113B. Chaikovskyi1.83610111122LSep 22 · 21:00O. Pohonov1.331111113I. Sukovatyi3.258970LSep 20 · 03:15I. Sukovatyi3.003780O. Pohonov1.361111113LSep 20 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.101113143I. Sukovatyi1.67511120WSep 19 · 23:15A. Romanenko2.1011690I. Sukovatyi1.671311113WSep 19 · 22:15I. Sukovatyi1.5311118123V. Krokhmal2.389911101LSep 19 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.83811115113I. Sukovatyi1.8311891192LSep 17 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.3821111113I. Sukovatyi1.53115771WSep 10 · 08:35V. Zharskiy2.638330I. Sukovatyi1.441111113
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