TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155423
Played Sep 20Finished
Ihor Sukovatyi
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311711811––––
Oleksandr Pohonov
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:36 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Oleksandr Pohonov below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 51 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 70.4%
51 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 21–50 Oleksandr Pohonov Ihor Sukovatyi has won 21 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:36What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Pohonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-50 in 71
Pohonov
Correct
gap of 29 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1741 vs Pohonov 1732
Sukovatyi
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 40% vs Pohonov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 40% vs Pohonov 60%
Pohonov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi -1 · Pohonov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Pohonov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pohonov form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 3.00 / Pohonov 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Pohonov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13155423
Sukovatyi3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 41 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Pohonov1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 182 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it92% 91 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it76% 131 of 172
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi0wins
AwayPohonov10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyi0%0 of 3
AwayPohonov100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi3Pohonov7n = 10Pohonov took 7 of 10
S2Sukovatyi1Pohonov9n = 10Pohonov took 9 of 10
S3Sukovatyi4Pohonov6n = 10Pohonov took 6 of 10
S4Sukovatyi1Pohonov5n = 6Pohonov took 5 of 6
S5Sukovatyi0Pohonov3n = 3Pohonov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiPohonovS − PBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.640.7−9.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 517 vs 277 / 53654.6%51.7%282 / 517 vs 277 / 536Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovSukovatyi 3.00/Pohonov 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pohonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 10:05I. Sukovatyi549101114102O. Pohonov491112212123
LSep 16 · 18:35I. Sukovatyi178360O. Pohonov331111113
LSep 13 · 24:15I. Sukovatyi356101361O. Pohonov45111211113
LSep 10 · 10:05I. Sukovatyi409911111O. Pohonov4011115133
LSep 9 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi4511711882O. Pohonov44611511113
LSep 3 · 10:05I. Sukovatyi124530O. Pohonov331111113
LSep 2 · 17:35I. Sukovatyi3911115662O. Pohonov46761111113
LSep 1 · 23:30I. Sukovatyi145630O. Pohonov331111113
LAug 30 · 21:15I. Sukovatyi371246151O. Pohonov49101111173
LAug 29 · 22:15I. Sukovatyi2311750O. Pohonov351311113
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 20 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.101113143I. Sukovatyi1.67511120WSep 19 · 23:15A. Romanenko2.1011690I. Sukovatyi1.671311113WSep 19 · 22:15I. Sukovatyi1.5311118123V. Krokhmal2.389911101LSep 19 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.83811115113I. Sukovatyi1.8311891192LSep 17 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.3821111113I. Sukovatyi1.53115771LSep 17 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.361112212123I. Sukovatyi3.009101114102LSep 17 · 08:35A. Romanenko2.10711118113I. Sukovatyi1.6711461182WSep 17 · 06:35B. Chaikovskyi1.911012871I. Sukovatyi1.80121011113WSep 17 · 04:35I. Hrekh2.3813118952I. Sukovatyi1.531171111113LSep 16 · 18:35I. Sukovatyi2.758360O. Pohonov1.401111113
O. Pohonov10
WSep 20 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.6712118113V. Krokhmal2.101081181LSep 19 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.611111113O. Pohonov2.209550WSep 19 · 21:45A. Romanenko2.387129111O. Pohonov1.53111011133LSep 19 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.25112119113O. Pohonov1.5751161182LSep 17 · 11:35B. Chaikovskyi1.6111611143O. Pohonov2.208118121WSep 17 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.361112212123I. Sukovatyi3.009101114102WSep 17 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4091111182O. Pohonov2.75111186113WSep 17 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.731110961O. Pohonov2.0081211113LSep 17 · 05:05A. Romanenko2.381713711113O. Pohonov1.53151511892WSep 16 · 18:35I. Sukovatyi2.758360O. Pohonov1.401111113
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