TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ihor Sukovatyi vs Bohdan Chaikovskyi 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Ihor Sukovatyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161210311811112
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBohdan Chaikovskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Bohdan Chaikovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 85 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Bohdan Chaikovskyi at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 44–35 Bohdan Chaikovskyi Bohdan Chaikovskyi has won 35 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:39What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-35 in 79
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 9 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1708 vs Chaikovskyi 1828
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 40% vs Chaikovskyi 80%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 30% vs Chaikovskyi 80%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi -3 · Chaikovskyi +1
Sukovatyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chaikovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaikovskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 1.83 / Chaikovskyi 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chaikovskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13173142
Sukovatyi1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Chaikovskyi1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi3wins
AwayChaikovskyi7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChaikovskyi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyi50%3 of 6
AwayChaikovskyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi6Chaikovskyi4n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S2Sukovatyi2Chaikovskyi8n = 10Chaikovskyi took 8 of 10
S3Sukovatyi6Chaikovskyi4n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S4Sukovatyi5Chaikovskyi3n = 8Sukovatyi took 5 of 8
S5Sukovatyi0Chaikovskyi3n = 3Chaikovskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiChaikovskyiS − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.738.70.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiChaikovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 519 vs 404 / 77854.3%51.9%282 / 519 vs 404 / 778Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaikovskyiSukovatyi 1.83/Chaikovskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chaikovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 19 · 21:15I. Sukovatyi4811891192B. Chaikovskyi46811115113
WSep 17 · 06:35I. Sukovatyi44121011113B. Chaikovskyi371012871
WSep 15 · 21:00I. Sukovatyi44111210113B. Chaikovskyi378101271
LSep 12 · 20:45I. Sukovatyi4311911662B. Chaikovskyi45411811113
LSep 10 · 11:05I. Sukovatyi30661171B. Chaikovskyi3711114113
LSep 9 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi187650B. Chaikovskyi331111113
WSep 3 · 04:35I. Sukovatyi351311113B. Chaikovskyi2111640
LSep 2 · 12:05I. Sukovatyi419121191B. Chaikovskyi4511149113
LSep 2 · 24:30I. Sukovatyi4599111152B. Chaikovskyi47111168113
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 22 · 21:00O. Pohonov1.331111113I. Sukovatyi3.258970LSep 20 · 03:15I. Sukovatyi3.003780O. Pohonov1.361111113LSep 20 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.101113143I. Sukovatyi1.67511120WSep 19 · 23:15A. Romanenko2.1011690I. Sukovatyi1.671311113WSep 19 · 22:15I. Sukovatyi1.5311118123V. Krokhmal2.389911101LSep 19 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.83811115113I. Sukovatyi1.8311891192LSep 17 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.3821111113I. Sukovatyi1.53115771LSep 17 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.361112212123I. Sukovatyi3.009101114102LSep 17 · 08:35A. Romanenko2.10711118113I. Sukovatyi1.6711461182WSep 17 · 06:35B. Chaikovskyi1.911012871I. Sukovatyi1.80121011113
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 22 · 20:00G. Kuzmenko2.1011111382B. Chaikovskyi1.67681111113LSep 20 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.401110651V. Krokhmal2.7551211113WSep 20 · 24:45A. Romanenko2.2512950B. Chaikovskyi1.571411113WSep 19 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.611111113O. Pohonov2.209550WSep 19 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.677260B. Chaikovskyi2.101111113WSep 19 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.83811115113I. Sukovatyi1.8311891192WSep 17 · 11:35B. Chaikovskyi1.6111611143O. Pohonov2.208118121WSep 17 · 09:35A. Romanenko2.25491131B. Chaikovskyi1.5711119113WSep 17 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.671011481B. Chaikovskyi2.1012511113LSep 17 · 06:35B. Chaikovskyi1.911012871I. Sukovatyi1.80121011113
Upcoming Matches
I. Sukovatyi
Sep 23 · 01:00I. Sukovatyi1.40V. Zharskiy2.75—Sep 23 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.67A. Romanenko2.10—Sep 23 · 12:35I. Sukovatyi3.25O. Pohonov1.33—Sep 23 · 13:35I. Sukovatyi1.40V. Zharskiy2.75—Sep 23 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.67G. Kuzmenko2.10—Sep 23 · 17:35I. Sukovatyi1.83B. Chaikovskyi1.83—Sep 23 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi1.61A. Romanenko2.20—
B. Chaikovskyi
Sep 23 · 24:00B. Chaikovskyi2.20V. Zharskiy1.61—Sep 23 · 01:30B. Chaikovskyi1.57A. Romanenko2.25—Sep 23 · 02:30B. Chaikovskyi1.53O. Pohonov2.38—Sep 23 · 12:05B. Chaikovskyi2.20V. Zharskiy1.61—Sep 23 · 14:05B. Chaikovskyi1.57A. Romanenko2.25—Sep 23 · 16:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53O. Pohonov2.38—Sep 23 · 17:35B. Chaikovskyi1.83I. Sukovatyi1.83—Sep 23 · 18:35B. Chaikovskyi1.67G. Kuzmenko2.10—
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