TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Gregory Kuzmenko vs Vitaliy Zharskiy 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Gregory Kuzmenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171113117119––
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeGregory Kuzmenko to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGregory Kuzmenko above · Vitaliy Zharskiy below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Gregory Kuzmenko at 66.1%
80 points played in total.
H2H Gregory Kuzmenko 48–33 Vitaliy Zharskiy Vitaliy Zharskiy has won 33 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:06What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kuzmenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-33 in 81
Kuzmenko
Correct
gap of 15 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1771 vs Zharskiy 1650
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 40% vs Zharskiy 60%
Zharskiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 40% vs Zharskiy 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko +1 · Zharskiy +3
Zharskiy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zharskiy form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 1.50 / Zharskiy 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13173399
Kuzmenko1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 66 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 48 of 60
Zharskiy2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 47 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko7wins
AwayZharskiy3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko77.8%7 of 9
AwayZharskiyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko9Zharskiy1n = 10Kuzmenko took 9 of 10
S2Kuzmenko7Zharskiy3n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S3Kuzmenko3Zharskiy6n = 9Zharskiy took 6 of 9
S4Kuzmenko5Zharskiy2n = 7Kuzmenko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoZharskiyK − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.235.1+5.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoZharskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 570 vs 273 / 54849.8%49.8%284 / 570 vs 273 / 548Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoKuzmenko 1.50/Zharskiy 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LApr 1 · 16:35G. Kuzmenko45101181242V. Zharskiy501261110113
LMar 31 · 22:30G. Kuzmenko3911412121V. Zharskiy4781114143
WMar 11 · 19:05G. Kuzmenko48111114123V. Zharskiy366416101
WMar 11 · 01:30G. Kuzmenko371115113V. Zharskiy2971390
WMar 5 · 08:35G. Kuzmenko331111113V. Zharskiy218760
WMar 4 · 17:05G. Kuzmenko4111811113V. Zharskiy25511721
LMar 4 · 01:30G. Kuzmenko351112391V. Zharskiy4151411113
WFeb 19 · 08:35G. Kuzmenko4311118133V. Zharskiy333811111
WFeb 18 · 01:30G. Kuzmenko4111118113V. Zharskiy34861191
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 23 · 24:30G. Kuzmenko1.4411117113O. Pohonov2.63581121LSep 22 · 23:00G. Kuzmenko2.101012671I. Sukovatyi1.67121011113LSep 22 · 21:30G. Kuzmenko2.759760A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 22 · 20:00G. Kuzmenko2.1011111382B. Chaikovskyi1.67681111113WSep 17 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.3821111113I. Sukovatyi1.53115771WSep 17 · 09:05I. Hrekh2.20811981G. Kuzmenko1.6111611113LSep 17 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4091111182O. Pohonov2.75111186113LSep 17 · 07:05A. Romanenko1.441115113G. Kuzmenko2.6391380WSep 17 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko2.2061111113B. Chaikovskyi1.61115971LSep 16 · 19:05G. Kuzmenko2.50311871A. Romanenko1.5011711113
V. Zharskiy10
WSep 23 · 01:00V. Zharskiy2.751113113I. Sukovatyi1.4061170WSep 23 · 24:00V. Zharskiy1.611211113B. Chaikovskyi2.2010670WSep 22 · 22:30V. Zharskiy1.6111614113O. Pohonov2.207111291LSep 22 · 20:30V. Zharskiy2.631191011102A. Romanenko1.44811126123LSep 10 · 10:35S. Maksymiv1.4014168113V. Zharskiy2.7512141191LSep 10 · 09:35V. Zharskiy2.63512981A. Romanenko1.44111011113LSep 10 · 08:35V. Zharskiy2.638330I. Sukovatyi1.441111113WSep 10 · 07:05V. Zharskiy1.611111113B. Chaikovskyi2.206460WSep 10 · 05:05V. Zharskiy1.731111113O. Pohonov2.009840LSep 9 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.5010860A. Romanenko1.501211113
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