TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Skachenko vs Oleksandr Naida 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Serhii Skachenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111210711611––
Oleksandr Naida
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Skachenko to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Skachenko above · Oleksandr Naida below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 77 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Serhii Skachenko at 66.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Skachenko 12–7 Oleksandr Naida Oleksandr Naida has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:06What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skachenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-7 in 19
Skachenko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skachenko 1623 vs Naida 1572
Skachenko
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skachenko 80% vs Naida 60%
Skachenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skachenko 60% vs Naida 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skachenko +1 · Naida +3
Naida
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Skachenko) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Naida form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkachenko 1.57 / Naida 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Skachenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13173385
Skachenko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 30 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it62% 21 of 34
Naida2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 75 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back27% 28 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkachenko6wins
AwayNaida4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkachenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkachenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayNaida50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skachenko6Naida4n = 10Skachenko took 6 of 10
S2Skachenko4Naida6n = 10Naida took 6 of 10
S3Skachenko5Naida5n = 10split evenly
S4Skachenko5Naida2n = 7Skachenko took 5 of 7
S5Skachenko2Naida1n = 3Skachenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkachenkoNaidaS − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.434.8+3.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkachenkoNaidaBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 320 vs 482 / 93342.2%51.7%135 / 320 vs 482 / 933Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkachenkoSkachenko 1.57/Naida 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Skachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Naida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 24:25S. Skachenko2351170O. Naida351113113
WSep 16 · 02:05S. Skachenko331111113O. Naida196850
WSep 14 · 22:25S. Skachenko331111113O. Naida154650
LAug 28 · 15:35S. Skachenko4811591672O. Naida514111114113
LAug 27 · 23:25S. Skachenko33117871O. Naida4181111113
WAug 18 · 22:05S. Skachenko4181111113O. Naida29112791
WAug 18 · 24:55S. Skachenko3711411113O. Naida31311981
LAug 11 · 17:55S. Skachenko37891191O. Naida4111118113
WAug 10 · 22:25S. Skachenko48127711113O. Naida48101111882
WAug 5 · 03:35S. Skachenko51911911113O. Naida3811411572
S. Skachenko10
WSep 23 · 24:05S. Skachenko1.611111113T. Ponomarenko2.208340LSep 22 · 22:35S. Skachenko1.9191214101R. Gnoevoy1.80111412123WSep 22 · 21:05S. Skachenko1.809111110113S. Abalmaz1.9111591282WSep 22 · 04:25S. Skachenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.919790WSep 22 · 02:25V. Khamurda2.001210561S. Skachenko1.73101211113LSep 22 · 24:25O. Naida2.631113113S. Skachenko1.4451170WSep 21 · 23:25S. Skachenko1.61111199153T. Ponomarenko2.20361111132LSep 21 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy1.911111113S. Skachenko1.807390LSep 16 · 03:05T. Ponomarenko2.25117911113S. Skachenko1.5781111872WSep 16 · 02:05S. Skachenko1.501111113O. Naida2.506850
O. Naida10
WSep 23 · 24:35O. Naida2.00711119123R. Gnoevoy1.73118611102WSep 22 · 23:35V. Khamurda1.9111114882O. Naida1.80651111113WSep 22 · 22:05O. Naida1.44711811123T. Ponomarenko2.63118117102LSep 22 · 03:25O. Naida1.83791151V. Khamurda1.8311116113LSep 22 · 01:55O. Naida2.10131310872R. Gnoevoy1.6711111211113WSep 22 · 24:25O. Naida2.631113113S. Skachenko1.4451170WSep 21 · 22:55O. Naida2.6311411113S. Abalmaz1.44511621WSep 21 · 21:25O. Naida1.44931215113T. Ponomarenko2.631111101362LSep 18 · 04:25O. Naida2.00101150D. Derevynskyi1.731213113LSep 16 · 02:05S. Skachenko1.501111113O. Naida2.506850
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.