TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Naida vs Roman Gnoevoy 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleksandr Naida
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
131113111012811711
Roman Gnoevoy
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:44 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeRoman Gnoevoy to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Naida above · Roman Gnoevoy below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 107 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Roman Gnoevoy at 55.8%
107 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Naida 123–120 Roman Gnoevoy Roman Gnoevoy has won 120 of their 243 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:44What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Gnoevoy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
123-120 in 243
Naida
Wrong
gap of 3 in 243, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Naida 1566 vs Gnoevoy 1517
Naida
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Naida 60% vs Gnoevoy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Naida 60% vs Gnoevoy 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Naida +3 · Gnoevoy -1
Naida
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Gnoevoy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Naida form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNaida 2.10 / Gnoevoy 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Gnoevoy)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13168781
Naida2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 73 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back27% 28 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 52
Gnoevoy1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 69 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it75% 47 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNaida2wins
AwayGnoevoy8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGnoevoy leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNaida50%2 of 4
AwayGnoevoy100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Naida4Gnoevoy6n = 10Gnoevoy took 6 of 10
S2Naida4Gnoevoy6n = 10Gnoevoy took 6 of 10
S3Naida4Gnoevoy6n = 10Gnoevoy took 6 of 10
S4Naida3Gnoevoy4n = 7Gnoevoy took 4 of 7
S5Naida0Gnoevoy3n = 3Gnoevoy took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNaidaGnoevoyN − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.641.2−2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNaidaGnoevoyBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 931 vs 406 / 81651.7%49.8%481 / 931 vs 406 / 816Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GnoevoyNaida 2.10/Gnoevoy 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Gnoevoy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gnoevoy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 24:25O. Naida43111110113R. Gnoevoy28721271
LSep 16 · 04:05O. Naida31611771R. Gnoevoy4211911113
WSep 15 · 03:55O. Naida341112113R. Gnoevoy2261060
LSep 3 · 23:55O. Naida4611816111R. Gnoevoy4751118133
LSep 1 · 03:55O. Naida2696110R. Gnoevoy351111133
LAug 31 · 01:55O. Naida50812111362R. Gnoevoy541114711113
LAug 28 · 19:35O. Naida351141191R. Gnoevoy4213117113
LAug 28 · 03:55O. Naida2594120R. Gnoevoy361111143
LAug 14 · 24:55O. Naida541111119122R. Gnoevoy56139911143
LAug 11 · 16:55O. Naida4211471462R. Gnoevoy505111112113
O. Naida10
LSep 22 · 03:25O. Naida1.83791151V. Khamurda1.8311116113WSep 22 · 24:25O. Naida2.631113113S. Skachenko1.4451170WSep 21 · 22:55O. Naida2.6311411113S. Abalmaz1.44511621WSep 21 · 21:25O. Naida1.44931215113T. Ponomarenko2.631111101362LSep 18 · 04:25O. Naida2.00101150D. Derevynskyi1.731213113LSep 18 · 02:25V. Khamurda1.73129611113O. Naida2.00101111792WSep 18 · 24:25R. Gnoevoy1.73721271O. Naida2.00111110113WSep 17 · 23:25O. Naida2.7581111113S. Abalmaz1.40118991WSep 17 · 22:25K. Hrynenko1.83671181O. Naida1.8311118113LSep 16 · 04:05O. Naida2.10611771R. Gnoevoy1.6711911113
R. Gnoevoy10
LSep 22 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy2.1091050S. Abalmaz1.671112113WSep 21 · 23:55V. Khamurda1.6711126682R. Gnoevoy2.109101111113WSep 21 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy1.911111113S. Skachenko1.807390WSep 18 · 03:25R. Gnoevoy2.20114811113V. Khamurda1.6161111792LSep 18 · 01:55R. Gnoevoy1.57741141K. Hrynenko2.2511115113LSep 18 · 24:25R. Gnoevoy1.73721271O. Naida2.00111110113LSep 17 · 22:55R. Gnoevoy2.005780D. Derevynskyi1.731111113LSep 17 · 21:25R. Gnoevoy2.10119121172S. Abalmaz1.67911145113WSep 16 · 04:05O. Naida2.10611771R. Gnoevoy1.6711911113WSep 16 · 02:35R. Gnoevoy2.001111113V. Khamurda1.736690
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