TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142902
Played Sep 18Finished
Roman Gnoevoy
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116411811117119
Vitalii Khamurda
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeVitalii Khamurda to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Gnoevoy above · Vitalii Khamurda below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Vitalii Khamurda at 58.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Roman Gnoevoy 68–126 Vitalii Khamurda Roman Gnoevoy has won 68 of their 194 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Khamurda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
68-126 in 194
Khamurda
Wrong
gap of 58 in 194, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gnoevoy 1485 vs Khamurda 1558
Khamurda
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gnoevoy 20% vs Khamurda 60%
Khamurda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gnoevoy 30% vs Khamurda 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gnoevoy -4 · Khamurda +1
Gnoevoy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Khamurda) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gnoevoy form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGnoevoy 2.20 / Khamurda 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Khamurda)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13142902
Gnoevoy2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 89 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back24% 23 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 56
Khamurda1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 95 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it76% 59 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGnoevoy2wins
AwayKhamurda8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKhamurda leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGnoevoy50%2 of 4
AwayKhamurda100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gnoevoy4Khamurda6n = 10Khamurda took 6 of 10
S2Gnoevoy4Khamurda6n = 10Khamurda took 6 of 10
S3Gnoevoy6Khamurda4n = 10Gnoevoy took 6 of 10
S4Gnoevoy3Khamurda4n = 7Khamurda took 4 of 7
S5Gnoevoy0Khamurda5n = 5Khamurda took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGnoevoyKhamurdaG − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.740.4−3.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGnoevoyKhamurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime403 / 813 vs 469 / 87949.6%53.4%403 / 813 vs 469 / 879Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhamurdaGnoevoy 2.20/Khamurda 1.61
Miss
What we said
60.9%
Khamurda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gnoevoy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 01:55R. Gnoevoy514111111142V. Khamurda53111376163
LSep 8 · 16:55R. Gnoevoy2811980V. Khamurda351311113
WSep 8 · 24:25R. Gnoevoy4111811113V. Khamurda35811971
LSep 4 · 03:25R. Gnoevoy4291131182V. Khamurda41117111113
WSep 2 · 01:55R. Gnoevoy361114113V. Khamurda2341270
LAug 31 · 21:25R. Gnoevoy42113111162V. Khamurda50711813113
LAug 31 · 03:25R. Gnoevoy39915961V. Khamurda46111311113
LAug 28 · 13:05R. Gnoevoy198740V. Khamurda331111113
LAug 27 · 23:55R. Gnoevoy3111411322V. Khamurda49811811113
LAug 13 · 22:55R. Gnoevoy3841111482V. Khamurda39113311113
R. Gnoevoy10
LSep 18 · 01:55R. Gnoevoy1.57741141K. Hrynenko2.2511115113LSep 18 · 24:25R. Gnoevoy1.73721271O. Naida2.00111110113LSep 17 · 22:55R. Gnoevoy2.005780D. Derevynskyi1.731111113LSep 17 · 21:25R. Gnoevoy2.10119121172S. Abalmaz1.67911145113WSep 16 · 04:05O. Naida2.10611771R. Gnoevoy1.6711911113WSep 16 · 02:35R. Gnoevoy2.001111113V. Khamurda1.736690LSep 16 · 24:35S. Abalmaz1.671111113R. Gnoevoy2.108990WSep 15 · 22:35T. Ponomarenko2.00531181R. Gnoevoy1.7311116113LSep 15 · 21:35S. Skachenko1.83111111113R. Gnoevoy1.83613271LSep 15 · 03:55O. Naida1.831112113R. Gnoevoy1.8361060
V. Khamurda10
WSep 18 · 02:25V. Khamurda1.73129611113O. Naida2.00101111792LSep 18 · 01:25V. Khamurda2.38911137122S. Abalmaz1.531151111143LSep 17 · 23:55V. Khamurda1.807101261K. Hrynenko1.91111210113WSep 17 · 21:55V. Khamurda1.9181112113D. Derevynskyi1.801141081WSep 16 · 03:35S. Abalmaz1.53811951V. Khamurda2.3811911113LSep 16 · 02:35R. Gnoevoy2.001111113V. Khamurda1.736690LSep 16 · 01:05S. Skachenko1.831111113V. Khamurda1.837980LSep 15 · 23:05O. Naida1.831111812113V. Khamurda1.8346111492LSep 15 · 21:05T. Ponomarenko1.911111133V. Khamurda1.8098110WSep 15 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.911111113D. Derevynskyi1.808890
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