TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Naida vs Roman Gnoevoy 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksandr Naida
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111181169111210
Roman Gnoevoy
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:39 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeRoman Gnoevoy to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Naida above · Roman Gnoevoy below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 96 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Roman Gnoevoy at 55.8%
96 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Naida 123–121 Roman Gnoevoy Roman Gnoevoy has won 121 of their 244 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:39What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gnoevoy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
123-121 in 244
Naida
Correct
gap of 2 in 244, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Naida 1562 vs Gnoevoy 1544
Naida
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Naida 60% vs Gnoevoy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Naida 60% vs Gnoevoy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Naida +2 · Gnoevoy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gnoevoy) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNaida 2.00 / Gnoevoy 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gnoevoy)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13173365
Naida2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 75 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back27% 28 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 52
Gnoevoy1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 71 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it75% 48 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNaida2wins
AwayGnoevoy8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGnoevoy leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNaida50%2 of 4
AwayGnoevoy100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Naida4Gnoevoy6n = 10Gnoevoy took 6 of 10
S2Naida5Gnoevoy5n = 10split evenly
S3Naida4Gnoevoy6n = 10Gnoevoy took 6 of 10
S4Naida2Gnoevoy5n = 7Gnoevoy took 5 of 7
S5Naida0Gnoevoy3n = 3Gnoevoy took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNaidaGnoevoyN − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.541.8−2.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNaidaGnoevoyBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 933 vs 409 / 81851.6%50%481 / 933 vs 409 / 818Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GnoevoyNaida 2.00/Gnoevoy 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gnoevoy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Naida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 01:55O. Naida51131310872R. Gnoevoy5611111211113
WSep 18 · 24:25O. Naida43111110113R. Gnoevoy28721271
LSep 16 · 04:05O. Naida31611771R. Gnoevoy4211911113
WSep 15 · 03:55O. Naida341112113R. Gnoevoy2261060
LSep 3 · 23:55O. Naida4611816111R. Gnoevoy4751118133
LSep 1 · 03:55O. Naida2696110R. Gnoevoy351111133
LAug 31 · 01:55O. Naida50812111362R. Gnoevoy541114711113
LAug 28 · 19:35O. Naida351141191R. Gnoevoy4213117113
LAug 28 · 03:55O. Naida2594120R. Gnoevoy361111143
LAug 14 · 24:55O. Naida541111119122R. Gnoevoy56139911143
O. Naida10
WSep 23 · 01:35S. Skachenko1.57912761O. Naida2.25111011113WSep 22 · 23:35V. Khamurda1.9111114882O. Naida1.80651111113WSep 22 · 22:05O. Naida1.44711811123T. Ponomarenko2.63118117102LSep 22 · 03:25O. Naida1.83791151V. Khamurda1.8311116113LSep 22 · 01:55O. Naida2.10131310872R. Gnoevoy1.6711111211113WSep 22 · 24:25O. Naida2.631113113S. Skachenko1.4451170WSep 21 · 22:55O. Naida2.6311411113S. Abalmaz1.44511621WSep 21 · 21:25O. Naida1.44931215113T. Ponomarenko2.631111101362LSep 18 · 04:25O. Naida2.00101150D. Derevynskyi1.731213113LSep 18 · 02:25V. Khamurda1.73129611113O. Naida2.00101111792
R. Gnoevoy10
WSep 22 · 22:35S. Skachenko1.9191214101R. Gnoevoy1.80111412123LSep 22 · 21:35V. Khamurda1.67111210113R. Gnoevoy2.109101271WSep 22 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.611111113T. Ponomarenko2.209870WSep 22 · 01:55O. Naida2.10131310872R. Gnoevoy1.6711111211113LSep 22 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy2.1091050S. Abalmaz1.671112113WSep 21 · 23:55V. Khamurda1.6711126682R. Gnoevoy2.109101111113WSep 21 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy1.911111113S. Skachenko1.807390WSep 18 · 03:25R. Gnoevoy2.20114811113V. Khamurda1.6161111792LSep 18 · 01:55R. Gnoevoy1.57741141K. Hrynenko2.2511115113LSep 18 · 24:25R. Gnoevoy1.73721271O. Naida2.00111110113
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