TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Khamurda vs Oleksandr Naida 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Vitalii Khamurda
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116115411811811
Oleksandr Naida
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Khamurda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Khamurda above · Oleksandr Naida below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 86 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Vitalii Khamurda at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Khamurda 94–119 Oleksandr Naida Vitalii Khamurda has won 94 of their 213 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:56What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Naida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
94-119 in 213
Naida
Correct
gap of 25 in 213, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khamurda 1570 vs Naida 1562
Khamurda
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khamurda 60% vs Naida 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khamurda 50% vs Naida 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khamurda +2 · Naida +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khamurda)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhamurda 1.91 / Naida 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khamurda)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13173678
Khamurda1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 68 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Naida1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 77 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it74% 58 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhamurda8wins
AwayNaida2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKhamurda leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhamurda85.7%6 of 7
AwayNaida33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khamurda7Naida3n = 10Khamurda took 7 of 10
S2Khamurda7Naida3n = 10Khamurda took 7 of 10
S3Khamurda6Naida4n = 10Khamurda took 6 of 10
S4Khamurda4Naida3n = 7Khamurda took 4 of 7
S5Khamurda4Naida2n = 6Khamurda took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhamurdaNaidaK − NBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.437.7+4.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhamurdaNaidaBasisWin rate · lifetime472 / 880 vs 481 / 93353.6%51.6%472 / 880 vs 481 / 933Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhamurdaKhamurda 1.91/Naida 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Khamurda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Naida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 23:35V. Khamurda4211114882O. Naida44651111113
WSep 22 · 03:25V. Khamurda3911116113O. Naida32791151
WSep 18 · 02:25V. Khamurda49129611113O. Naida48101111792
LSep 15 · 23:05V. Khamurda4446111492O. Naida531111812113
WSep 15 · 01:55V. Khamurda331111113O. Naida246990
WSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda351311113O. Naida2211830
WSep 1 · 01:55V. Khamurda331111113O. Naida229940
WAug 30 · 23:55V. Khamurda46411812113O. Naida47118111072
WAug 28 · 17:35V. Khamurda511181110113O. Naida4581171272
WAug 28 · 01:25V. Khamurda524111115113O. Naida4011421762
V. Khamurda10
WSep 22 · 21:35V. Khamurda1.67111210113R. Gnoevoy2.109101271WSep 22 · 03:25O. Naida1.83791151V. Khamurda1.8311116113LSep 22 · 02:25V. Khamurda2.001210561S. Skachenko1.73101211113WSep 22 · 01:25V. Khamurda1.911111113T. Ponomarenko1.808540LSep 21 · 23:55V. Khamurda1.6711126682R. Gnoevoy2.109101111113WSep 21 · 21:55V. Khamurda2.251211113S. Abalmaz1.5710200LSep 18 · 03:25R. Gnoevoy2.20114811113V. Khamurda1.6161111792WSep 18 · 02:25V. Khamurda1.73129611113O. Naida2.00101111792LSep 18 · 01:25V. Khamurda2.38911137122S. Abalmaz1.531151111143LSep 17 · 23:55V. Khamurda1.807101261K. Hrynenko1.91111210113
O. Naida10
WSep 22 · 22:05O. Naida1.44711811123T. Ponomarenko2.63118117102LSep 22 · 03:25O. Naida1.83791151V. Khamurda1.8311116113LSep 22 · 01:55O. Naida2.10131310872R. Gnoevoy1.6711111211113WSep 22 · 24:25O. Naida2.631113113S. Skachenko1.4451170WSep 21 · 22:55O. Naida2.6311411113S. Abalmaz1.44511621WSep 21 · 21:25O. Naida1.44931215113T. Ponomarenko2.631111101362LSep 18 · 04:25O. Naida2.00101150D. Derevynskyi1.731213113LSep 18 · 02:25V. Khamurda1.73129611113O. Naida2.00101111792WSep 18 · 24:25R. Gnoevoy1.73721271O. Naida2.00111110113WSep 17 · 23:25O. Naida2.7581111113S. Abalmaz1.40118991
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