TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adam Staniczek vs Artur Kubiak 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Adam Staniczek
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131113811––––
Artur Kubiak
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:22 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeArtur Kubiak to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
11131113811––––
H2H Adam Staniczek 4–60 Artur Kubiak Adam Staniczek has won 4 of their 64 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Kubiak beat Staniczek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:22What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kubiak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-60 in 64
Kubiak
Correct
gap of 56 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniczek 1215 vs Kubiak 1372
Kubiak
Correct
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniczek 0% vs Kubiak 80%
Kubiak
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniczek 10% vs Kubiak 60%
Kubiak
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniczek -5 · Kubiak +1
Staniczek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kubiak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniczek 2.75 / Kubiak 1.40
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Kubiak)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13172770
Staniczek2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog25% won 116 of 458
Down 0–1, comes back11% 33 of 293
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 220
Kubiak1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 155 of 226
Up 2–0, closes it95% 75 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it84% 107 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStaniczek2wins
AwayKubiak8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKubiak leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniczekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKubiak87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniczek2Kubiak8n = 10Kubiak took 8 of 10
S2Staniczek4Kubiak6n = 10Kubiak took 6 of 10
S3Staniczek7Kubiak3n = 10Staniczek took 7 of 10
S4Staniczek2Kubiak6n = 8Kubiak took 6 of 8
S5Staniczek1Kubiak3n = 4Kubiak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaniczekKubiakS − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.641.4−2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniczekKubiakBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 1012 vs 490 / 89836.4%54.6%368 / 1012 vs 490 / 898Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubiakStaniczek 2.75/Kubiak 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.6%
Kubiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kubiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 19:35A. Staniczek4151311842A. Kubiak481111411113
LAug 25 · 01:35A. Staniczek48111111872A. Kubiak47713511113
LAug 24 · 19:35A. Staniczek3961112101A. Kubiak4211514123
WAug 13 · 01:00A. Staniczek521011911113A. Kubiak4412611692
LAug 12 · 18:55A. Staniczek34761291A. Kubiak43111110113
LAug 11 · 01:35A. Staniczek4176111162A. Kubiak44111156113
LAug 10 · 19:35A. Staniczek35781191A. Kubiak3911116113
LJul 15 · 21:45A. Staniczek359101151A. Kubiak4211128113
LJul 15 · 17:45A. Staniczek2485110A. Kubiak351111133
WJul 13 · 01:00A. Staniczek371114123A. Kubiak30812100
A. Staniczek10
LSep 22 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.2611914113A. Staniczek3.504111261LSep 21 · 23:10J. Michalik1.5411119123A. Staniczek2.254411101LSep 21 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.42111111113A. Staniczek2.60771321LSep 21 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.271111113A. Staniczek3.306540LSep 21 · 19:35A. Staniczek2.8051311842A. Kubiak1.391111411113WSep 21 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.251110771A. Staniczek1.5471211113LSep 21 · 17:10P. Gesiarz1.5012118113A. Staniczek2.351061181LSep 21 · 15:35J. Cyndera1.411111123A. Staniczek2.6049100LSep 18 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.2212116113A. Staniczek3.701081181LSep 18 · 03:55A. Staniczek3.305850J. Zelezik1.211111113
A. Kubiak10
LSep 22 · 02:20J. Michalik2.00311511163A. Kubiak1.71116118142WSep 21 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.866840A. Kubiak1.801111113LSep 21 · 22:50M. Warzecha1.541111113A. Kubiak2.256580WSep 21 · 21:10M. Machelski2.3581111892A. Kubiak1.50115611113WSep 21 · 20:20P. Gesiarz2.10951161A. Kubiak1.6511113113WSep 21 · 19:35A. Staniczek2.8051311842A. Kubiak1.391111411113LSep 21 · 17:35J. Cyndera1.86811511163A. Kubiak1.80113111142WSep 21 · 16:50D. Maszczynski3.40691341A. Kubiak1.28111111113WSep 21 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.57111161192A. Kubiak2.25138119113LSep 20 · 02:00A. Kubiak3.00561171M. Guzik1.2611119113
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