TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Jiri Cerny
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119118811611114
Dominik Tichy
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJiri Cerny above · Dominik Tichy below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 90 set 5, 11-4
90 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Cerny 2–2 Dominik Tichy Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Cerny beat Tichy 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Cerny)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCerny 1.36 / Tichy 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Cerny)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13172087
Cerny1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 20 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it77% 10 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it56% 14 of 25
Tichy3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 23 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back27% 6 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeCerny2wins
AwayTichy2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCerny66.7%2 of 3
AwayTichyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cerny3Tichy1n = 4Cerny took 3 of 4
S2Cerny3Tichy1n = 4Cerny took 3 of 4
S3Cerny2Tichy2n = 4split evenly
S4Cerny1Tichy2n = 3Tichy took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricCernyTichyC − TBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match36.237.0−0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernyTichyBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 155 vs 170 / 27247.7%62.5%74 / 155 vs 170 / 272Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyCerny 1.36/Tichy 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 21 · 16:20J. Cerny331111113D. Tichy216960
WSep 1 · 01:20J. Cerny4111136113D. Tichy368111161
LAug 24 · 17:59J. Cerny31118571D. Tichy4181111113
LAug 24 · 14:50J. Cerny4081111372D. Tichy50119811113
J. Cerny10
WSep 21 · 16:20J. Cerny1.801111113D. Tichy1.916960LSep 21 · 15:20J. Cerny1.83311641J. Dvorak1.8311211113WSep 21 · 14:20J. Cerny1.8061111113M. Dvorak1.91119991WSep 1 · 01:20J. Cerny2.2011136113D. Tichy1.618111161WSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151WAug 31 · 17:49J. Cerny2.001111113P. Moravec1.738590WAug 31 · 14:20J. Cerny2.6371111113M. Beran1.44118521LAug 24 · 17:59D. Tichy1.7381111113J. Cerny2.00118571WAug 24 · 16:50J. Cerny1.67911128113V. Jr2.10118101132WAug 24 · 15:20D. Sykora1.44711761J. Cerny2.6311911113
D. Tichy10
LSep 21 · 16:20J. Cerny1.801111113D. Tichy1.916960LSep 21 · 15:50M. Dvorak1.8371111113D. Tichy1.83114691LSep 21 · 14:50D. Tichy1.8310970J. Dvorak1.831211113WSep 18 · 18:30J. Dvorak1.65119181182D. Tichy2.109111613113WSep 18 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.2049100D. Tichy1.611111123LSep 18 · 16:25F. Marat2.385121111113D. Tichy1.5311146432LSep 18 · 15:25D. Tichy2.0011129862J. Dvorak1.735101111113WSep 16 · 17:19Z. Zahradka1.73712561D. Tichy2.00111011113LSep 1 · 01:20J. Cerny2.2011136113D. Tichy1.618111161WAug 24 · 17:59D. Tichy1.7381111113J. Cerny2.00118571
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