TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Alexandr Virag vs Daniel Tyn 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Alexandr Virag
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191186116111311
Daniel Tyn
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:15 and never touched — 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timeAlexandr Virag to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexandr Virag above · Daniel Tyn below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 97 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Alexandr Virag at 65.1%
97 points played in total.
H2H Alexandr Virag 9–3 Daniel Tyn Daniel Tyn has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:15What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Virag
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-3 in 12
Virag
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Virag 1354 vs Tyn 1373
Tyn
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Virag 40% vs Tyn 60%
Tyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Virag 40% vs Tyn 70%
Tyn
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Virag +1 · Tyn -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Virag)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tyn form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVirag 1.40 / Tyn 2.75
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Virag)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13169776
Virag1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 48 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it63% 25 of 40
Tyn2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 37 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back29% 13 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVirag8wins
AwayTyn2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVirag leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVirag87.5%7 of 8
AwayTynn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Virag8Tyn2n = 10Virag took 8 of 10
S2Virag8Tyn2n = 10Virag took 8 of 10
S3Virag6Tyn4n = 10Virag took 6 of 10
S4Virag5Tyn2n = 7Virag took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricViragTynV − TBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.233.2+6.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricViragTynBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 280 vs 133 / 28047.5%47.5%133 / 280 vs 133 / 280Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ViragVirag 1.40/Tyn 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.1%
Virag · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Virag won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 09:03A. Virag491151111112D. Tyn52711813133
WAug 6 · 07:00A. Virag4412119123D. Tyn3710611101
WJul 20 · 10:30A. Virag4011711113D. Tyn34611891
WMar 23 · 11:00A. Virag43101111113D. Tyn34129581
WMar 14 · 09:30A. Virag4011115133D. Tyn367711111
WDec 25 · 17:00A. Virag341211113D. Tyn2110470
WDec 22 · 17:00A. Virag331111113D. Tyn259880
WDec 8 · 10:30A. Virag331111113D. Tyn168710
WDec 8 · 08:30A. Virag4111118113D. Tyn36891181
LNov 27 · 12:30A. Virag35811791D. Tyn4111811113
A. Virag10
WSep 22 · 10:00J. Stach2.3891691582A. Virag1.5311141113113LSep 8 · 12:59E. Sionkala1.6751111113A. Virag2.10115371LSep 8 · 12:30E. Sionkala1.441111113A. Virag2.638770WSep 8 · 11:30A. Virag1.6781116113M. Kolek2.101151461LSep 8 · 10:30F. Zurek1.8391311113A. Virag1.831111691LSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala1.44811811113A. Virag2.6311811952WSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100LSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113LSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WAug 22 · 09:30M. Kolek1.805811121A. Virag1.9111113143
D. Tyn10
WSep 22 · 12:00J. Stach1.61101291172D. Tyn2.201210117113LSep 22 · 10:30D. Tyn2.6376110A. Schneeberger1.441111133LSep 15 · 09:30D. Tyn1.82911101142D. Mikula1.85119126113WSep 15 · 08:30V. Kocian2.10121060D. Tyn1.671412113WSep 15 · 07:30D. Tyn2.25111011113D. Mikula1.57712981WSep 15 · 06:30Z. Zientek1.671197101D. Tyn2.1091111123WSep 10 · 13:30D. Tyn1.851111123V. Kocian1.8556100LSep 10 · 12:30D. Tyn1.80114111052M. Kaspar1.91311612113WSep 10 · 11:00D. Tyn1.37111127113M. Levicky2.6597111172WSep 10 · 10:00V. Kocian1.759129101D. Tyn1.85111011123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.