TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Kos vs Lukas Jindrak 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Tomas Kos
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141191214116––
Lukas Jindrak
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:04 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Kos to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kos above · Lukas Jindrak below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 78 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Kos at 67.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kos 6–4 Lukas Jindrak Lukas Jindrak has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Kos
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1969 vs Jindrak 1843
Kos
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 80% vs Jindrak 40%
Kos
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 80% vs Jindrak 40%
Kos
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos +2 · Jindrak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.44 / Jindrak 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Kos)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169397
Kos1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 31 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it79% 26 of 33
Jindrak2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 26 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back29% 9 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos6wins
AwayJindrak4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKos leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos75%6 of 8
AwayJindrakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos8Jindrak2n = 10Kos took 8 of 10
S2Kos5Jindrak5n = 10split evenly
S3Kos4Jindrak6n = 10Jindrak took 6 of 10
S4Kos2Jindrak2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosJindrakK − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.233.2+1.0per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosJindrakBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 185 vs 229 / 42052.4%54.5%97 / 185 vs 229 / 420Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.44/Jindrak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 07:30T. Kos45111112113L. Jindrak33491461
WSep 12 · 13:30T. Kos331111113L. Jindrak132740
WSep 12 · 11:00T. Kos371111153L. Jindrak2768130
WSep 12 · 06:30T. Kos331111113L. Jindrak246990
WAug 20 · 14:00T. Kos361112133L. Jindrak26510110
LNov 24 · 18:00T. Kos32149271L. Jindrak45121111113
LNov 24 · 16:00T. Kos196490L. Jindrak331111113
WNov 24 · 12:00T. Kos46139211113L. Jindrak47111111862
LAug 23 · 12:30T. Kos219930L. Jindrak331111113
LApr 13 · 08:30T. Kos401118741L. Jindrak5192011113
T. Kos10
WSep 22 · 06:30J. Vales1.5771160T. Kos2.251113113WSep 13 · 20:59T. Kos1.308111011113M. Zahradka3.4011712882LSep 13 · 20:00E. Mares2.2011124113T. Kos1.618101191WSep 13 · 19:00T. Postelt2.5031111782T. Kos1.50119911113WSep 13 · 18:30T. Kos1.281113811113M. Zahradka3.5081511752LSep 13 · 17:29T. Kos2.25211771J. Cernik1.5711911113WSep 13 · 16:30L. Zeman3.00212241T. Kos1.36111011113WSep 13 · 15:30T. Kos1.30111112113M. Zahradka3.40561471WSep 13 · 14:30J. Cernik1.5351090T. Kos2.381112113WSep 12 · 13:30L. Jindrak2.252740T. Kos1.571111113
L. Jindrak10
WSep 22 · 08:00L. Jindrak1.801171011113J. Vales1.9161112772LSep 22 · 06:00L. Jindrak1.67791381E. Mares2.10111111113LSep 12 · 13:30L. Jindrak2.252740T. Kos1.571111113WSep 12 · 12:30L. Jindrak1.571111113E. Mares2.258770LSep 12 · 11:00L. Jindrak2.1068130T. Kos1.671111153WSep 12 · 10:00L. Zeman2.508140L. Jindrak1.501111113WSep 12 · 08:59M. Huk2.5011791172L. Jindrak1.50811118113LSep 12 · 08:00E. Mares2.201111113L. Jindrak1.618960WSep 12 · 07:00M. Huk2.5081213962L. Jindrak1.5011101111113LSep 12 · 06:30L. Jindrak1.806990T. Kos1.911111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.