TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Myroslav Loboda vs Oleksii Rodin 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119118411711115
Oleksii Rodin
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:14 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 88 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 54.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 5–3 Oleksii Rodin Oleksii Rodin has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Loboda
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1714 vs Rodin 1652
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 40% vs Rodin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 60% vs Rodin 40%
Loboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda +1 · Rodin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Loboda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.73 / Rodin 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Loboda)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13168614
Loboda1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite57% won 160 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it91% 96 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it74% 132 of 179
Rodin2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog51% won 31 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeLoboda5wins
AwayRodin3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLoboda leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda66.7%4 of 6
AwayRodinn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda6Rodin2n = 8Loboda took 6 of 8
S2Loboda4Rodin4n = 8split evenly
S3Loboda3Rodin5n = 8Rodin took 5 of 8
S4Loboda4Rodin3n = 7Loboda took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricLobodaRodinL − RBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match37.134.5+2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime493 / 953 vs 190 / 32251.7%59%493 / 953 vs 190 / 322Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.73/Rodin 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 21 · 01:00M. Loboda3911711462O. Rodin45411811113
WSep 17 · 17:05M. Loboda48111177123O. Rodin42551111102
WSep 17 · 02:00M. Loboda3711114113O. Rodin22261131
LSep 6 · 14:05M. Loboda33138571O. Rodin44111111113
WSep 3 · 17:05M. Loboda3821411113O. Rodin321112631
WAug 28 · 08:35M. Loboda4211911113O. Rodin27411481
WAug 27 · 16:05M. Loboda3911125113O. Rodin314101161
LAug 27 · 24:00M. Loboda216780O. Rodin331111113
M. Loboda10
WSep 21 · 20:15M. Loboda1.401111123Y. Vorsuliak2.7536100LSep 21 · 02:00Y. Vorsuliak2.7581512113M. Loboda1.4011131091LSep 21 · 01:00M. Loboda1.6711711462O. Rodin2.10411811113WSep 21 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83111110113V. Krokhmal1.83391281LSep 20 · 22:30M. Loboda2.251410971R. Konkulovskyi1.57121211113WSep 20 · 20:30M. Loboda1.67111189113V. Slozka2.1057111182LSep 18 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.10313712113M. Loboda1.671111111052WSep 18 · 09:35M. Loboda2.251111113M. Khomenko1.579670WSep 18 · 08:35M. Loboda1.441111113Y. Vorsuliak2.639870WSep 18 · 07:05M. Loboda1.571011316113D. Shchegelskyi2.25127111492
O. Rodin10
LSep 21 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi1.6711413123O. Rodin2.1091111101LSep 21 · 03:00O. Rodin1.73118661V. Slozka2.0091111113WSep 21 · 01:00M. Loboda1.6711711462O. Rodin2.10411811113LSep 20 · 23:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911061114113O. Rodin1.80121151232WSep 20 · 22:00O. Rodin1.731212113V. Krokhmal2.00101050LSep 20 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.8381111113O. Rodin1.83116961LSep 17 · 19:05O. Rodin1.73118118102Y. Vorsuliak2.00211711123LSep 17 · 17:05M. Loboda1.67111177123O. Rodin2.10551111102WSep 17 · 15:05M. Khomenko1.8389111142O. Rodin1.83111154113WSep 17 · 14:05O. Rodin1.831111133V. Slozka1.8395110
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