TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksii Rodin
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119811611611––
Viktor Slozka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Rodin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksii Rodin above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Oleksii Rodin at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Rodin 2–3 Viktor Slozka Oleksii Rodin has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:45What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rodin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rodin 1673 vs Slozka 1686
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rodin 40% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rodin 50% vs Slozka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rodin +1 · Slozka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rodin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRodin 1.73 / Slozka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rodin)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13160831
Rodin1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 146 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it96% 72 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it79% 100 of 126
Slozka2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 116 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeRodin2wins
AwaySlozka3wins
Slozka leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRodin66.7%2 of 3
AwaySlozkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rodin3Slozka2n = 5Rodin took 3 of 5
S2Rodin2Slozka3n = 5Slozka took 3 of 5
S3Rodin3Slozka2n = 5Rodin took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricRodinSlozkaR − SBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match29.231.6−2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRodinSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 320 vs 383 / 84059.4%45.6%190 / 320 vs 383 / 840Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RodinRodin 1.73/Slozka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rodin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 17 · 14:05O. Rodin351111133V. Slozka2595110
WSep 16 · 21:30O. Rodin331111113V. Slozka237790
LAug 28 · 11:05O. Rodin31118841V. Slozka4181111113
LAug 27 · 14:05O. Rodin29371181V. Slozka3611113113
LAug 26 · 22:00O. Rodin188550V. Slozka331111113
O. Rodin10
WSep 21 · 01:00M. Loboda1.6711711462O. Rodin2.10411811113LSep 20 · 23:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911061114113O. Rodin1.80121151232WSep 20 · 22:00O. Rodin1.731212113V. Krokhmal2.00101050LSep 20 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.8381111113O. Rodin1.83116961LSep 17 · 19:05O. Rodin1.73118118102Y. Vorsuliak2.00211711123LSep 17 · 17:05M. Loboda1.67111177123O. Rodin2.10551111102WSep 17 · 15:05M. Khomenko1.8389111142O. Rodin1.83111154113WSep 17 · 14:05O. Rodin1.831111133V. Slozka1.8395110WSep 17 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.83261191O. Rodin1.8311117113LSep 17 · 02:00O. Rodin1.91261131M. Loboda1.8011114113
V. Slozka10
WSep 21 · 01:30V. Slozka1.801111113V. Krokhmal1.917140LSep 20 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.83116119113V. Slozka1.8331191172WSep 20 · 21:30Y. Vorsuliak2.50117100V. Slozka1.501311123LSep 20 · 20:30M. Loboda1.67111189113V. Slozka2.1057111182WSep 18 · 11:35M. Khomenko1.911156101V. Slozka1.8081111123WSep 18 · 10:05V. Slozka1.571111113Y. Vorsuliak2.256450WSep 18 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi3.251241041V. Slozka1.33101112113LSep 18 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.6761113113V. Slozka2.101111171LSep 18 · 05:05M. Loboda1.6711101111133V. Slozka2.10131279112LSep 17 · 14:05O. Rodin1.831111133V. Slozka1.8395110
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