TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Denis Aldayev
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411411811––––
Vitalii Klymenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDenis Aldayev to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenis Aldayev above · Vitalii Klymenko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 49 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Denis Aldayev at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Denis Aldayev 19–19 Vitalii Klymenko Dead even across their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:03What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Klymenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-19 in 38
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Aldayev 965 vs Klymenko 980
Klymenko
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Aldayev 80% vs Klymenko 40%
Aldayev
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Aldayev 60% vs Klymenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Aldayev -1 · Klymenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Aldayev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAldayev 1.83 / Klymenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Aldayev)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13166567
Aldayev1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Klymenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAldayev4wins
AwayKlymenko6wins
Klymenko leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAldayev100%4 of 4
AwayKlymenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Aldayev4Klymenko6n = 10Klymenko took 6 of 10
S2Aldayev5Klymenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Aldayev4Klymenko6n = 10Klymenko took 6 of 10
S4Aldayev2Klymenko3n = 5Klymenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricAldayevKlymenkoA − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.832.6−0.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAldayevKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 235 vs 91 / 23742.6%38.4%100 / 235 vs 91 / 237Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.734.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AldayevAldayev 1.83/Klymenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Aldayev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 06:00D. Aldayev3611311113V. Klymenko20611211
LSep 14 · 13:30D. Aldayev387131441V. Klymenko49111116113
LSep 7 · 15:00D. Aldayev199460V. Klymenko331111113
WAug 31 · 17:03D. Aldayev4211119113V. Klymenko30821191
WAug 31 · 13:30D. Aldayev391612113V. Klymenko32141080
LAug 17 · 12:00D. Aldayev2679100V. Klymenko341111123
LAug 15 · 04:30D. Aldayev34611891V. Klymenko4111811113
WJul 18 · 10:30D. Aldayev331111113V. Klymenko154740
LJul 13 · 12:30D. Aldayev33971161V. Klymenko3911116113
LJul 11 · 05:30D. Aldayev188640V. Klymenko331111113
D. Aldayev10
LSep 21 · 13:00D. Aldayev4.33711117112R. Boklah1.20116511133WSep 19 · 10:30D. Aldayev2.38119711113Y. Priadko1.5391111662WSep 19 · 09:00D. Aldayev3.401121112133O. Kolos1.301311910112WSep 19 · 07:30D. Aldayev5.50591113113R. Boklah1.13111131162WSep 19 · 06:00D. Aldayev2.1011311113V. Klymenko1.67611211LSep 19 · 04:30D. Aldayev1.67117581V. Ivnytskyi2.1081111113WSep 14 · 17:19D. Aldayev1.91711711113Y. Priadko1.8011911942LSep 14 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.5711115113D. Aldayev2.25641161WSep 14 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.4081111113M. Bukata2.75118891LSep 14 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.67111116113D. Aldayev2.107131441
V. Klymenko10
WSep 21 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi1.67881141V. Klymenko2.1011115113WSep 19 · 11:30R. Boklah1.40118101182V. Klymenko2.75611123113LSep 19 · 10:00V. Klymenko1.91101110101V. Ivnytskyi1.8012912123LSep 19 · 08:00O. Kolos1.401112113V. Klymenko2.7561050LSep 19 · 06:00D. Aldayev2.1011311113V. Klymenko1.67611211WSep 19 · 05:00Y. Priadko1.50118781V. Klymenko2.5071111113LSep 14 · 17:38V. Ivnytskyi2.0012114113V. Klymenko1.731061161WSep 14 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.36511631V. Klymenko3.0011411113LSep 14 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.537630V. Ivnytskyi2.381111113WSep 14 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.67111116113D. Aldayev2.107131441
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