TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111210119113––
Anatolii Nazarov
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nazarov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Anatolii Nazarov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 75 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Anatolii Nazarov at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 1–2 Anatolii Nazarov Volodymir Maksuta has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:37What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Nazarov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1623 vs Nazarov 1638
Nazarov
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 60% vs Nazarov 40%
Maksuta
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 60% vs Nazarov 30%
Maksuta
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta -1 · Nazarov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nazarov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nazarov form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 1.91 / Nazarov 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nazarov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13166285
Maksuta1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 21 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back16% 3 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Nazarov1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 50 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it76% 32 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMaksuta1wins
AwayNazarov2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderNazarov leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta2Nazarov1n = 3Maksuta took 2 of 3
S2Maksuta2Nazarov1n = 3Maksuta took 2 of 3
S3Maksuta1Nazarov2n = 3Nazarov took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMaksutaNazarovM − NBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match34.735.3−0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaNazarovBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 300 vs 352 / 64957%54.2%171 / 300 vs 352 / 649Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NazarovMaksuta 1.91/Nazarov 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nazarov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maksuta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 2 · 18:30V. Maksuta25116351A. Nazarov4071111113
WJun 25 · 19:50V. Maksuta331111113A. Nazarov177460
LJun 18 · 15:20V. Maksuta4681171192A. Nazarov49118118113
V. Maksuta10
LSep 21 · 16:30V. Maksuta1.44781111102M. Mrykh2.63111179123WSep 21 · 15:00V. Maksuta2.1013911113O. Strutinskiy1.671111941LSep 21 · 13:30V. Maksuta2.20991251V. Savoliuk1.61111110113WSep 21 · 12:00V. Maksuta1.9111115113E. Hrytsenko1.80581181WSep 17 · 16:40V. Merzlikin1.83115791V. Maksuta1.8391111113WSep 17 · 15:40V. Maksuta1.8051111113A. Droshchynskyi1.91114871LSep 17 · 14:40V. Maksuta1.53412971A. Zozulia2.38111011113WSep 17 · 13:10V. Maksuta1.50101111113Y. Holoborodko2.50123651WSep 17 · 11:10V. Maksuta1.91711112113I. Efimenko1.8011941182LSep 12 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk3.2511146113V. Maksuta1.339121191
A. Nazarov10
LSep 21 · 17:00A. Nazarov2.2081111572O. Strutinskiy1.61114911113WSep 21 · 16:00A. Nazarov1.361111113E. Hrytsenko3.005780LSep 21 · 14:30A. Nazarov1.836860M. Mrykh1.831111113WSep 21 · 12:30A. Nazarov2.101112133V. Savoliuk1.67910110LSep 18 · 18:00I. Nitchenko3.25991111143A. Nazarov1.33111178122LSep 18 · 17:00A. Nazarov2.20119111072O. Strutinskiy1.61611912113WSep 18 · 16:00A. Nazarov1.4011611113E. Hrytsenko2.75211891LSep 18 · 14:30A. Nazarov1.8011912682A. Derevianko1.916111011113LSep 18 · 12:30A. Nazarov2.001011781M. Deineha1.7312811113LSep 15 · 11:50A. Nazarov2.10411951O. Strutinskiy1.6711411113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.