TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Lysakowski
Home
1.34
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412117117––––
Bartlomiej Molka
Away
3.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:29 and never touched — 73.5% is still 73.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Lysakowski to win
73.5%
73.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
1412117117––––
H2H Michal Lysakowski 65–43 Bartlomiej Molka Bartlomiej Molka has won 43 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.34 (70%)
Lysakowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
65-43 in 108
Lysakowski
Correct
gap of 22 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysakowski 1712 vs Molka 1531
Lysakowski
Correct
both rated, 181 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysakowski 80% vs Molka 20%
Lysakowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysakowski 80% vs Molka 20%
Lysakowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysakowski +4 · Molka -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Lysakowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molka form (20%) is below what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysakowski 1.34 / Molka 3.10
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Lysakowski)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13165987
Lysakowski1.34
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 179 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it93% 114 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it75% 153 of 204
Molka3.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 168 of 377
Down 0–1, comes back21% 44 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysakowski6wins
AwayMolka4wins
Lysakowski leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysakowski83.3%5 of 6
AwayMolka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysakowski6Molka4n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S2Lysakowski6Molka4n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S3Lysakowski6Molka4n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S4Lysakowski3Molka3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysakowskiMolkaL − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.835.0+2.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysakowskiMolkaBasisWin rate · lifetime658 / 1325 vs 535 / 117249.7%45.7%658 / 1325 vs 535 / 1172Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiLysakowski 1.34/Molka 3.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.4%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lysakowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 09:00M. Lysakowski341211113B. Molka2610880
LSep 13 · 16:05M. Lysakowski35881271B. Molka43111110113
LSep 11 · 11:00M. Lysakowski4411111571B. Molka5091317113
WSep 7 · 07:30M. Lysakowski4111118113B. Molka34971171
WAug 31 · 07:00M. Lysakowski43101111113B. Molka39129991
WAug 30 · 15:35M. Lysakowski43111011113B. Molka29912531
LAug 28 · 08:30M. Lysakowski25111040B. Molka361312113
WAug 26 · 12:00M. Lysakowski331111113B. Molka225890
LAug 19 · 07:30M. Lysakowski4591115101B. Molka4711717123
WAug 17 · 13:10M. Lysakowski351111133B. Molka2467110
M. Lysakowski10
WSep 20 · 21:05P. Gola1.957960M. Lysakowski1.761111113WSep 20 · 19:05M. Lysakowski1.391411113S. Wloszek2.5512790WSep 20 · 17:35M. Lysakowski1.90111012113M. Stepien1.808121091WSep 20 · 15:35M. Lysakowski1.4913911113S. Radlo2.451111451WSep 18 · 13:10D. Skvarskyi1.85511514122M. Lysakowski1.851141112143LSep 18 · 12:00M. Lysakowski1.87791141D. Skvarskyi1.8311118113WSep 18 · 10:00D. Stapor2.20691171M. Lysakowski1.5711116113LSep 18 · 08:00P. Gola2.0511138113M. Lysakowski1.666111181WSep 18 · 07:00M. Lysakowski1.661111153M. Galus2.0567130WSep 18 · 06:00M. Stepien1.8512111110102M. Lysakowski1.85147912123
B. Molka10
LSep 20 · 18:05P. Gola1.6011711113B. Molka2.10811671LSep 20 · 17:05M. Stepien1.471111113B. Molka2.503690LSep 20 · 16:05B. Molka1.669880S. Wloszek2.051111113LSep 16 · 12:40B. Molka1.681188141S. Radlo2.0561111163WSep 16 · 11:00B. Molka2.50112126113M. Ovcharenko1.46511101182LSep 16 · 09:30B. Molka1.9014580P. Gola1.761611113LSep 16 · 08:00B. Molka1.90913381D. Stapor1.80111111113LSep 16 · 06:30B. Molka1.463990M. Burkacki2.481111113WSep 16 · 05:00B. Molka1.651311113S. Radlo2.1011860LSep 15 · 13:10M. Ovcharenko1.471116113B. Molka2.5041480
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