TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139567
Played Sep 16Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1416511811––––
Pawel Gola
Away
1.76
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Gola to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
1416511811––––
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 72–109 Pawel Gola Bartlomiej Molka has won 72 of their 181 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Gola
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-109 in 181
Gola
Correct
gap of 37 in 181, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molka 1574 vs Gola 1509
Molka
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molka 40% vs Gola 20%
Molka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molka 30% vs Gola 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molka -2 · Gola -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gola)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gola form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 1.90 / Gola 1.76
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gola)+2.1pp
TT Cup · #13139567
Molka1.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 169 of 380
Down 0–1, comes back21% 44 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 120
Gola1.76
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 141 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it97% 75 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it85% 104 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka5wins
AwayGola5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka40%2 of 5
AwayGola40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka5Gola5n = 10split evenly
S2Molka5Gola5n = 10split evenly
S3Molka4Gola6n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S4Molka4Gola3n = 7Molka took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaGolaM − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.640.6−3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime533 / 1172 vs 579 / 118845.5%48.7%533 / 1172 vs 579 / 1188Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GolaMolka 1.90/Gola 1.76
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gola · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gola won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 22:05B. Molka29117831P. Gola4291111113
WSep 11 · 05:30B. Molka331111113P. Gola247890
WSep 2 · 08:00B. Molka4919118113P. Gola441791171
WAug 31 · 12:30B. Molka4281111123P. Gola391199101
LAug 31 · 08:00B. Molka55189117102P. Gola561611611123
LAug 28 · 12:00B. Molka2777130P. Gola371111153
LAug 26 · 08:30B. Molka331139101P. Gola4391111123
WAug 24 · 10:30B. Molka49911711113P. Gola4611611992
WAug 23 · 18:35B. Molka4581411123P. Gola4211129101
LAug 21 · 12:30B. Molka145720P. Gola331111113
B. Molka10
LSep 16 · 12:40B. Molka1.681188141S. Radlo2.0561111163WSep 16 · 11:00B. Molka2.50112126113M. Ovcharenko1.46511101182LSep 16 · 08:00B. Molka1.90913381D. Stapor1.80111111113LSep 16 · 06:30B. Molka1.463990M. Burkacki2.481111113WSep 16 · 05:00B. Molka1.651311113S. Radlo2.1011860LSep 15 · 13:10M. Ovcharenko1.471116113B. Molka2.5041480WSep 15 · 11:00D. Stapor1.688880B. Molka2.051111113LSep 15 · 10:00B. Molka2.20121111552M. Ovcharenko1.60147811113LSep 15 · 09:00B. Molka2.5010880M. Lysakowski1.471211113LSep 15 · 07:30B. Molka1.6894121182S. Radlo2.051111108113
P. Gola10
LSep 16 · 13:10P. Gola2.14661191D. Stapor1.6411117113WSep 16 · 11:30P. Gola1.7591112113S. Radlo1.951161081LSep 16 · 08:30P. Gola1.5711911912M. Burkacki2.20611511113LSep 16 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.2711912113P. Gola3.095111031WSep 16 · 07:00P. Gola2.05111137133D. Stapor1.68851111112LSep 14 · 12:30M. Stepien—1115613113P. Gola—917111182LSep 14 · 12:00P. Gola1.469990S. Wloszek2.501111113LSep 14 · 10:00D. Skvarskyi1.331112113P. Gola3.1051050WSep 14 · 08:00B. Molka2.103511101P. Gola1.6011117123LSep 14 · 07:00P. Gola1.5211115362M. Burkacki2.37551111113
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