TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13138824
Played Sep 16Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
1.46
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311911911––––
Mateusz Burkacki
Away
2.48
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Molka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
311911911––––
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 16–13 Mateusz Burkacki Mateusz Burkacki has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:26What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Molka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-13 in 29
Molka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molka 1559 vs Burkacki 1536
Molka
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molka 40% vs Burkacki 20%
Molka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molka 50% vs Burkacki 30%
Molka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molka +1 · Burkacki -4
Burkacki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Molka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 1.46 / Burkacki 2.48
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Molka)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13138824
Molka1.46
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 58 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it73% 38 of 52
Burkacki2.48
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 61 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back24% 23 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka5wins
AwayBurkacki5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka80%4 of 5
AwayBurkacki80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka5Burkacki5n = 10split evenly
S2Molka4Burkacki6n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S3Molka6Burkacki4n = 10Molka took 6 of 10
S4Molka2Burkacki2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaBurkackiM − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.832.4−0.6per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime532 / 1170 vs 96 / 23745.5%40.5%532 / 1170 vs 96 / 237Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolkaMolka 1.46/Burkacki 2.48
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Molka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Burkacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 06:30B. Molka213990M. Burkacki331111113
WSep 15 · 05:30B. Molka341112113M. Burkacki2381050
LSep 14 · 05:00B. Molka29128361M. Burkacki43101111113
LSep 8 · 06:00B. Molka32851181M. Burkacki4211119113
WSep 7 · 09:00B. Molka4411812133M. Burkacki4191110111
WSep 2 · 09:30B. Molka341112113M. Burkacki2471070
LJul 7 · 13:10B. Molka226970M. Burkacki331111113
WJul 7 · 05:00B. Molka46101411113M. Burkacki371212671
WJul 6 · 05:30B. Molka331111113M. Burkacki155640
LJul 3 · 05:30B. Molka238780M. Burkacki331111113
B. Molka10
LSep 16 · 12:40B. Molka1.681188141S. Radlo2.0561111163WSep 16 · 11:00B. Molka2.50112126113M. Ovcharenko1.46511101182LSep 16 · 09:30B. Molka1.9014580P. Gola1.761611113LSep 16 · 08:00B. Molka1.90913381D. Stapor1.80111111113WSep 16 · 05:00B. Molka1.651311113S. Radlo2.1011860LSep 15 · 13:10M. Ovcharenko1.471116113B. Molka2.5041480WSep 15 · 11:00D. Stapor1.688880B. Molka2.051111113LSep 15 · 10:00B. Molka2.20121111552M. Ovcharenko1.60147811113LSep 15 · 09:00B. Molka2.5010880M. Lysakowski1.471211113LSep 15 · 07:30B. Molka1.6894121182S. Radlo2.051111108113
M. Burkacki10
LSep 16 · 13:40M. Burkacki2.87781281M. Ovcharenko1.37111110113WSep 16 · 12:00D. Stapor1.546811121M. Burkacki2.2511114143WSep 16 · 10:30M. Burkacki2.3511126113S. Radlo1.538101161WSep 16 · 08:30P. Gola1.5711911912M. Burkacki2.20611511113LSep 16 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.291111113M. Burkacki3.309950LSep 15 · 12:40D. Stapor1.61111011113M. Burkacki2.15812771LSep 15 · 12:00M. Ovcharenko1.3411116113M. Burkacki3.00231191LSep 15 · 10:30M. Burkacki2.8091211151M. Lysakowski1.3811148173WSep 15 · 08:30S. Radlo1.538118151M. Burkacki2.3511611173LSep 15 · 06:30D. Stapor1.611111113M. Burkacki2.138980
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