TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139956
Played Sep 16Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1152111210611118
Maksim Ovcharenko
Away
1.46
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
1152111210611118
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 5–12 Maksim Ovcharenko Bartlomiej Molka has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Ovcharenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovcharenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 2.50 / Ovcharenko 1.46
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Ovcharenko)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13139956
Molka2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 169 of 380
Down 0–1, comes back21% 44 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 120
Ovcharenko1.46
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 45 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka1wins
AwayOvcharenko9wins
5 of 10 to a deciderOvcharenko leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayOvcharenko100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka2Ovcharenko8n = 10Ovcharenko took 8 of 10
S2Molka5Ovcharenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Molka3Ovcharenko7n = 10Ovcharenko took 7 of 10
S4Molka3Ovcharenko3n = 6split evenly
S5Molka0Ovcharenko5n = 5Ovcharenko took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaOvcharenkoM − OBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.941.0−8.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaOvcharenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime532 / 1172 vs 126 / 20145.4%62.7%532 / 1172 vs 126 / 201Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvcharenkoMolka 2.50/Ovcharenko 1.46
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Ovcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Molka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 13:10B. Molka2641480M. Ovcharenko381116113
LSep 15 · 10:00B. Molka44121111552M. Ovcharenko51147811113
LSep 11 · 07:30B. Molka4141111692M. Ovcharenko48117811113
LSep 8 · 10:00B. Molka4151161182M. Ovcharenko50119118113
WSep 6 · 23:35B. Molka43111011113M. Ovcharenko29712281
LSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka189540M. Ovcharenko331111113
LFeb 28 · 14:45B. Molka168440M. Ovcharenko331111113
LFeb 28 · 10:35B. Molka164660M. Ovcharenko331111113
LFeb 27 · 11:00B. Molka4171141272M. Ovcharenko501171110113
LFeb 21 · 10:05B. Molka43111181032M. Ovcharenko45381112113
B. Molka10
LSep 16 · 09:30B. Molka1.9014580P. Gola1.761611113LSep 16 · 08:00B. Molka1.90913381D. Stapor1.80111111113LSep 16 · 06:30B. Molka1.463990M. Burkacki2.481111113WSep 16 · 05:00B. Molka1.651311113S. Radlo2.1011860LSep 15 · 13:10M. Ovcharenko1.471116113B. Molka2.5041480WSep 15 · 11:00D. Stapor1.688880B. Molka2.051111113LSep 15 · 10:00B. Molka2.20121111552M. Ovcharenko1.60147811113LSep 15 · 09:00B. Molka2.5010880M. Lysakowski1.471211113LSep 15 · 07:30B. Molka1.6894121182S. Radlo2.051111108113WSep 15 · 05:30B. Molka1.551112113M. Burkacki2.1581050
M. Ovcharenko10
LSep 16 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.33611441D. Stapor3.1011611113WSep 16 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.391111113S. Radlo2.802920WSep 16 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.2711912113P. Gola3.095111031WSep 16 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.291111113M. Burkacki3.309950WSep 15 · 13:10M. Ovcharenko1.471116113B. Molka2.5041480WSep 15 · 12:00M. Ovcharenko1.3411116113M. Burkacki3.00231191WSep 15 · 10:00B. Molka2.20121111552M. Ovcharenko1.60147811113WSep 15 · 08:00D. Stapor2.851191191M. Ovcharenko1.3813119113LSep 15 · 07:00M. Ovcharenko2.167680M. Lysakowski1.631111113LSep 15 · 06:00S. Radlo2.621111113M. Ovcharenko1.375380
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