TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13137051
Played Sep 16Finished
Pawel Gola
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181153117111311
Dawid Stapor
Away
1.68
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeDawid Stapor to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
1181153117111311
H2H Pawel Gola 45–76 Dawid Stapor Pawel Gola has won 45 of their 121 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Stapor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-76 in 121
Stapor
Wrong
gap of 31 in 121, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gola 1521 vs Stapor 1537
Stapor
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gola 20% vs Stapor 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gola 40% vs Stapor 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gola -3 · Stapor -1
Gola
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGola 2.05 / Stapor 1.68
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Stapor)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13137051
Gola2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 69 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back13% 14 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 77
Stapor1.68
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 166 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it99% 84 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it87% 125 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGola6wins
AwayStapor4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGola leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGola83.3%5 of 6
AwayStapor75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gola6Stapor4n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S2Gola6Stapor4n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S3Gola4Stapor6n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Gola3Stapor2n = 5Gola took 3 of 5
S5Gola2Stapor1n = 3Gola took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaStaporG − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.735.6+1.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime580 / 1188 vs 477 / 90748.8%52.6%580 / 1188 vs 477 / 907Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporGola 2.05/Stapor 1.68
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gola won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 07:00P. Gola45111137133D. Stapor46851111112
LSep 11 · 12:00P. Gola228680D. Stapor331111113
LSep 9 · 08:00P. Gola361161181D. Stapor4491113113
WSep 2 · 10:00P. Gola361114113D. Stapor2351260
LSep 1 · 11:00P. Gola45101141282D. Stapor531291110113
WAug 28 · 13:40P. Gola331111113D. Stapor209560
WAug 28 · 07:00P. Gola331111113D. Stapor164840
LAug 23 · 17:05P. Gola204880D. Stapor331111113
WAug 21 · 11:00P. Gola551213811113D. Stapor51141111782
WAug 19 · 13:00P. Gola4211911113D. Stapor37811991
P. Gola10
LSep 16 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.2711912113P. Gola3.095111031LSep 14 · 12:30M. Stepien—1115613113P. Gola—917111182LSep 14 · 12:00P. Gola1.469990S. Wloszek2.501111113LSep 14 · 10:00D. Skvarskyi1.331112113P. Gola3.1051050WSep 14 · 08:00B. Molka2.103511101P. Gola1.6011117123LSep 14 · 07:00P. Gola1.5211115362M. Burkacki2.37551111113LSep 14 · 06:00M. Stepien1.401111113P. Gola2.756550WSep 13 · 22:40S. Radlo—8590P. Gola—1111113WSep 13 · 22:05B. Molka2.11117831P. Gola1.6691111113WSep 13 · 20:35P. Gola2.4511911113M. Stepien1.49711891
D. Stapor10
WSep 16 · 08:00B. Molka1.90913381D. Stapor1.80111111113LSep 16 · 06:00D. Stapor1.7411980S. Radlo1.951311113WSep 15 · 12:40D. Stapor1.61111011113M. Burkacki2.15812771LSep 15 · 11:00D. Stapor1.688880B. Molka2.051111113LSep 15 · 09:30D. Stapor1.9189100S. Radlo1.781111123LSep 15 · 08:00D. Stapor2.851191191M. Ovcharenko1.3813119113WSep 15 · 06:30D. Stapor1.611111113M. Burkacki2.138980LSep 15 · 05:00D. Stapor—612591M. Lysakowski—111011113LSep 11 · 13:30D. Stapor2.559840M. Ovcharenko1.411111113WSep 11 · 12:00D. Stapor1.711111113P. Gola2.008680
Upcoming Matches
P. Gola
D. Stapor
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.