TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Lysakowski
Home
1.49
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311911114115––
Szymon Radlo
Away
2.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:23 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Lysakowski to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1311911114115––
H2H Michal Lysakowski 58–48 Szymon Radlo Szymon Radlo has won 48 of their 106 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (62%)
Lysakowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
58-48 in 106
Lysakowski
Correct
gap of 10 in 106, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysakowski 1685 vs Radlo 1541
Lysakowski
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysakowski 60% vs Radlo 40%
Lysakowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysakowski 60% vs Radlo 30%
Lysakowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysakowski +1 · Radlo -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Lysakowski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysakowski 1.49 / Radlo 2.45
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Lysakowski)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13163849
Lysakowski1.49
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 179 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it93% 114 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it75% 153 of 204
Radlo2.45
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 167 of 335
Down 0–1, comes back23% 36 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysakowski6wins
AwayRadlo4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysakowski80%4 of 5
AwayRadlo60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysakowski5Radlo5n = 10split evenly
S2Lysakowski6Radlo4n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S3Lysakowski6Radlo4n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S4Lysakowski5Radlo2n = 7Lysakowski took 5 of 7
S5Lysakowski2Radlo3n = 5Radlo took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysakowskiRadloL − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.440.0+4.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysakowskiRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime655 / 1322 vs 378 / 75849.6%49.9%655 / 1322 vs 378 / 758Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiLysakowski 1.49/Radlo 2.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.4%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lysakowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 12:40M. Lysakowski401512133S. Radlo341310110
LSep 17 · 09:00M. Lysakowski2991190S. Radlo351113113
WSep 15 · 13:40M. Lysakowski5910121111153S. Radlo51121475132
WSep 15 · 11:30M. Lysakowski4011117113S. Radlo27531181
LSep 13 · 19:35M. Lysakowski50711101392S. Radlo521171211113
WSep 12 · 08:35M. Lysakowski5813111211113S. Radlo541113101372
WSep 7 · 09:30M. Lysakowski4391111123S. Radlo331148101
WSep 4 · 12:30M. Lysakowski331111113S. Radlo186660
LSep 4 · 08:00M. Lysakowski4511771192S. Radlo50911118113
LSep 3 · 10:30M. Lysakowski4771111992S. Radlo46116711113
M. Lysakowski10
WSep 18 · 13:10D. Skvarskyi1.85511514122M. Lysakowski1.851141112143LSep 18 · 12:00M. Lysakowski1.87791141D. Skvarskyi1.8311118113WSep 18 · 10:00D. Stapor2.20691171M. Lysakowski1.5711116113LSep 18 · 08:00P. Gola2.0511138113M. Lysakowski1.666111181WSep 18 · 07:00M. Lysakowski1.661111153M. Galus2.0567130WSep 18 · 06:00M. Stepien1.8512111110102M. Lysakowski1.85147912123WSep 17 · 12:40S. Radlo1.751310110M. Lysakowski1.981512133LSep 17 · 11:30M. Galus1.95127811133M. Lysakowski1.751011119112WSep 17 · 10:30M. Stepien1.82811841M. Lysakowski1.9011711113LSep 17 · 09:00S. Radlo2.501113113M. Lysakowski1.4791190
S. Radlo10
LSep 20 · 16:35P. Gola1.60111311113S. Radlo2.10615981LSep 17 · 12:40S. Radlo1.751310110M. Lysakowski1.981512133WSep 17 · 11:00D. Skvarskyi2.325311111S. Radlo1.5511117133LSep 17 · 10:00S. Radlo1.98101360S. Wloszek1.731215113WSep 17 · 09:00S. Radlo2.501113113M. Lysakowski1.4791190LSep 17 · 07:30S. Radlo2.029460M. Galus1.681111113LSep 17 · 05:30S. Radlo2.371112100M. Stepien1.521314123WSep 16 · 12:40B. Molka1.681188141S. Radlo2.0561111163LSep 16 · 11:30P. Gola1.7591112113S. Radlo1.951161081LSep 16 · 10:30M. Burkacki2.3511126113S. Radlo1.538101161
Upcoming Matches
M. Lysakowski
S. Radlo
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