TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145012
Played Sep 17Finished
Szymon Radlo
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191311119––––
Michal Lysakowski
Away
1.47
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:12 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Lysakowski to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
1191311119––––
H2H Szymon Radlo 47–57 Michal Lysakowski Szymon Radlo has won 47 of their 104 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:12What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Lysakowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-57 in 104
Lysakowski
Wrong
gap of 10 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Radlo 1496 vs Lysakowski 1669
Lysakowski
Wrong
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radlo 20% vs Lysakowski 60%
Lysakowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radlo 20% vs Lysakowski 60%
Lysakowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Radlo -2 · Lysakowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Lysakowski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radlo form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 2.50 / Lysakowski 1.47
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Lysakowski)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13145012
Radlo2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 166 of 331
Down 0–1, comes back24% 36 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 95
Lysakowski1.47
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 182 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it93% 117 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it76% 156 of 206
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRadlo5wins
AwayLysakowski5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo66.7%4 of 6
AwayLysakowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo6Lysakowski4n = 10Radlo took 6 of 10
S2Radlo4Lysakowski6n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S3Radlo4Lysakowski6n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S4Radlo2Lysakowski7n = 9Lysakowski took 7 of 9
S5Radlo5Lysakowski2n = 7Radlo took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRadloLysakowskiR − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.946.7−2.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloLysakowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 754 vs 648 / 132149.9%49.1%376 / 754 vs 648 / 1321Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiRadlo 2.50/Lysakowski 1.47
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.2%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Radlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 13:40S. Radlo51121475132M. Lysakowski5910121111153
LSep 15 · 11:30S. Radlo27531181M. Lysakowski4011117113
WSep 13 · 19:35S. Radlo521171211113M. Lysakowski50711101392
LSep 12 · 08:35S. Radlo541113101372M. Lysakowski5813111211113
LSep 7 · 09:30S. Radlo331148101M. Lysakowski4391111123
LSep 4 · 12:30S. Radlo186660M. Lysakowski331111113
WSep 4 · 08:00S. Radlo50911118113M. Lysakowski4511771192
WSep 3 · 10:30S. Radlo46116711113M. Lysakowski4771111992
WAug 31 · 11:30S. Radlo521110119113M. Lysakowski4031251192
WAug 30 · 20:05S. Radlo561111158113M. Lysakowski5299171162
S. Radlo10
LSep 17 · 07:30S. Radlo2.029460M. Galus1.681111113LSep 17 · 05:30S. Radlo2.371112100M. Stepien1.521314123WSep 16 · 12:40B. Molka1.681188141S. Radlo2.0561111163LSep 16 · 11:30P. Gola1.7591112113S. Radlo1.951161081LSep 16 · 10:30M. Burkacki2.3511126113S. Radlo1.538101161LSep 16 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.391111113S. Radlo2.802920WSep 16 · 06:00D. Stapor1.7411980S. Radlo1.951311113LSep 16 · 05:00B. Molka1.651311113S. Radlo2.1011860LSep 15 · 13:40M. Lysakowski1.8310121111153S. Radlo1.88121475132LSep 15 · 11:30S. Radlo2.25531181M. Lysakowski1.5711117113
M. Lysakowski10
LSep 17 · 06:00S. Wloszek2.3881113113M. Lysakowski1.491191171LSep 17 · 05:00D. Skvarskyi1.981111113M. Lysakowski1.755680WSep 15 · 13:40M. Lysakowski1.8310121111153S. Radlo1.88121475132WSep 15 · 11:30S. Radlo2.25531181M. Lysakowski1.5711117113WSep 15 · 10:30M. Burkacki2.8091211151M. Lysakowski1.3811148173WSep 15 · 09:00B. Molka2.5010880M. Lysakowski1.471211113WSep 15 · 07:00M. Ovcharenko2.167680M. Lysakowski1.631111113WSep 15 · 05:00D. Stapor—612591M. Lysakowski—111011113LSep 13 · 23:10M. Lysakowski1.181199171S. Wloszek4.5071111193LSep 13 · 21:35M. Lysakowski2.00115571M. Stepien1.7181111113
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