TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Pawel Gola
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911611––––
Michal Lysakowski
Away
1.76
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:27 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Lysakowski to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
711911611––––
H2H Pawel Gola 92–80 Michal Lysakowski Michal Lysakowski has won 80 of their 172 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (53%)
Lysakowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
92-80 in 172
Gola
Wrong
gap of 12 in 172, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gola 1617 vs Lysakowski 1720
Lysakowski
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gola 80% vs Lysakowski 100%
Lysakowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gola 70% vs Lysakowski 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gola -1 · Lysakowski +5
Lysakowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Lysakowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysakowski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGola 1.95 / Lysakowski 1.76
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Lysakowski)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13165985
Gola1.95
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog37% won 72 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back13% 14 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 72
Lysakowski1.76
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 179 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it93% 114 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it75% 153 of 204
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGola4wins
AwayLysakowski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGola100%3 of 3
AwayLysakowski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gola3Lysakowski7n = 10Lysakowski took 7 of 10
S2Gola5Lysakowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Gola6Lysakowski4n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S4Gola4Lysakowski3n = 7Gola took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaLysakowskiG − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.040.5−0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaLysakowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime585 / 1190 vs 659 / 132649.2%49.7%585 / 1190 vs 659 / 1326Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiGola 1.95/Lysakowski 1.76
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lysakowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 08:00P. Gola4311138113M. Lysakowski366111181
LSep 13 · 18:35P. Gola4010811111M. Lysakowski4512119133
LSep 12 · 10:05P. Gola4619114121M. Lysakowski5121511143
WSep 11 · 12:30P. Gola4481114113M. Lysakowski371161281
LSep 11 · 06:30P. Gola3079140M. Lysakowski381111163
WSep 9 · 11:00P. Gola4511913123M. Lysakowski4081111101
WSep 4 · 12:00P. Gola331111113M. Lysakowski209470
LSep 1 · 05:30P. Gola4798111272M. Lysakowski511111810113
LAug 31 · 05:00P. Gola2914870M. Lysakowski381611113
LAug 28 · 06:00P. Gola4361211952M. Lysakowski491110611113
P. Gola10
LSep 20 · 19:35P. Gola2.2071181182M. Stepien1.57119115113WSep 20 · 18:05P. Gola1.6011711113B. Molka2.10811671WSep 20 · 16:35P. Gola1.60111311113S. Radlo2.10615981WSep 20 · 15:05P. Gola1.391711113S. Wloszek2.8015880WSep 18 · 13:40M. Stepien1.405480P. Gola2.751111113WSep 18 · 11:00P. Gola2.0511711113D. Stapor1.68311961LSep 18 · 09:30P. Gola2.8012541152M. Stepien1.391011117113WSep 18 · 08:00P. Gola2.0511138113M. Lysakowski1.666111181WSep 18 · 06:30P. Gola3.3511117133D. Skvarskyi1.289311111LSep 18 · 05:00P. Gola2.408670M. Galus1.501111113
M. Lysakowski10
WSep 20 · 20:05M. Lysakowski1.341411113B. Molka3.1012770WSep 20 · 19:05M. Lysakowski1.391411113S. Wloszek2.5512790WSep 20 · 17:35M. Lysakowski1.90111012113M. Stepien1.808121091WSep 20 · 15:35M. Lysakowski1.4913911113S. Radlo2.451111451WSep 18 · 13:10D. Skvarskyi1.85511514122M. Lysakowski1.851141112143LSep 18 · 12:00M. Lysakowski1.87791141D. Skvarskyi1.8311118113WSep 18 · 10:00D. Stapor2.20691171M. Lysakowski1.5711116113LSep 18 · 08:00P. Gola2.0511138113M. Lysakowski1.666111181WSep 18 · 07:00M. Lysakowski1.661111153M. Galus2.0567130WSep 18 · 06:00M. Stepien1.8512111110102M. Lysakowski1.85147912123
Upcoming Matches
P. Gola
M. Lysakowski
Nothing scheduled
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