TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Durda vs Jacek Przewlocki 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Michal Durda
Home
1.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118211711411––
Jacek Przewlocki
Away
5.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:22 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeJacek Przewlocki to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
118211711411––
H2H Michal Durda 0–1 Jacek Przewlocki Michal Durda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Przewlocki beat Durda 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:22What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.15 (81%)
Durda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Durda 1332 vs Przewlocki 1241
Durda
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Durda 20% vs Przewlocki 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Durda 30% vs Przewlocki 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Durda -1 · Przewlocki -4
Przewlocki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Durda) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Durda form (20%) is below what odds imply (87%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDurda 1.15 / Przewlocki 5.00
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Durda)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13165642
Durda1.15
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite74% won 191 of 257
Up 2–0, closes it96% 96 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it89% 136 of 153
Przewlocki5.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 80 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDurda0wins
AwayPrzewlocki1wins
Przewlocki leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricDurdaPrzewlockiD − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match17.033.0−16.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDurdaPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 278 vs 521 / 107973.7%48.3%205 / 278 vs 521 / 1079Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurdaDurda 1.15/Przewlocki 5.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
82.1%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 21 · 18:30M. Durda177550J. Przewlocki331111113
M. Durda10
LSep 21 · 23:45K. Marchlewski—1111113M. Durda—7550WSep 21 · 22:35M. Durda1.12911522113M. Kowalczyk6.00116112062LSep 21 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.501111123M. Durda2.4357100LSep 21 · 19:40M. Durda1.0998111392P. Strus6.751111911113LSep 21 · 18:30M. Durda1.157550J. Przewlocki5.001111113WSep 21 · 17:20M. Durda1.07411611123K. Marchlewski7.75119119102WSep 21 · 16:15A. Myszewski1.7511761172M. Durda1.95911117113LSep 21 · 15:25M. Durda2.051111971M. Kowalczyk1.6541311113LSep 19 · 14:40M. Durda1.0411118552M. Zwolinski6.00961111113LSep 19 · 13:05M. Durda1.03116101152W. Suchecki6.20611126113
J. Przewlocki10
LSep 21 · 22:55K. Marchlewski1.78911119113J. Przewlocki1.9311731192LSep 21 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk2.051111113J. Przewlocki1.668660LSep 21 · 21:30A. Myszewski1.7491111113J. Przewlocki1.95116541LSep 21 · 20:05J. Przewlocki1.5010470K. Marchlewski2.401211113WSep 21 · 18:30M. Durda1.157550J. Przewlocki5.001111113LSep 21 · 17:45A. Myszewski1.7411211113J. Przewlocki1.95811471WSep 21 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.731111123M. Kowalczyk1.9877100LSep 21 · 15:50J. Przewlocki1.756890P. Strus1.951111113LSep 18 · 13:55B. Mleczko1.441111133J. Przewlocki2.6033110WSep 18 · 13:05W. Gronowski1.751116381J. Przewlocki1.98131411113
Upcoming Matches
M. Durda
J. Przewlocki
Nothing scheduled
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