TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Marchlewski vs Jacek Przewlocki 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Kacper Marchlewski
Home
1.78
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911117113911119
Jacek Przewlocki
Away
1.93
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJacek Przewlocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
911117113911119
H2H Kacper Marchlewski 4–4 Jacek Przewlocki Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Marchlewski beat Przewlocki 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:24What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Marchlewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marchlewski 1267 vs Przewlocki 1251
Marchlewski
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marchlewski 80% vs Przewlocki 20%
Marchlewski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marchlewski 50% vs Przewlocki 30%
Marchlewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marchlewski +3 · Przewlocki -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Marchlewski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 1.78 / Przewlocki 1.93
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Marchlewski)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13172787
Marchlewski1.78
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite35% won 17 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it54% 13 of 24
Przewlocki1.93
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 80 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMarchlewski4wins
AwayPrzewlocki4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarchlewski66.7%4 of 6
AwayPrzewlockin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marchlewski6Przewlocki2n = 8Marchlewski took 6 of 8
S2Marchlewski5Przewlocki3n = 8Marchlewski took 5 of 8
S3Marchlewski6Przewlocki2n = 8Marchlewski took 6 of 8
S4Marchlewski0Przewlocki3n = 3Przewlocki took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home450%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricMarchlewskiPrzewlockiM − PBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match35.134.8+0.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 338 vs 521 / 107843.5%48.3%147 / 338 vs 521 / 1078Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarchlewskiMarchlewski 1.78/Przewlocki 1.93
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Marchlewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Marchlewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 21 · 20:05K. Marchlewski341211113J. Przewlocki2110470
LSep 12 · 09:50K. Marchlewski4561317452J. Przewlocki5911111511113
LJul 28 · 23:45K. Marchlewski4211711492J. Przewlocki43811211113
LJul 28 · 15:00K. Marchlewski236980J. Przewlocki331111113
WApr 5 · 10:10K. Marchlewski331111113J. Przewlocki228860
LApr 5 · 05:40K. Marchlewski341185101J. Przewlocki4391111123
WSep 27 · 12:35K. Marchlewski351212113J. Przewlocki28101080
WJul 26 · 08:10K. Marchlewski351311113J. Przewlocki2911990
K. Marchlewski10
WSep 21 · 23:45K. Marchlewski—1111113M. Durda—7550WSep 21 · 21:05K. Marchlewski2.101111113M. Kowalczyk1.656880WSep 21 · 20:05J. Przewlocki1.5010470K. Marchlewski2.401211113WSep 21 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.619870K. Marchlewski2.151111113LSep 21 · 17:20M. Durda1.07411611123K. Marchlewski7.75119119102WSep 21 · 16:35P. Strus1.8013513732K. Marchlewski1.9111111111113LSep 21 · 15:00A. Myszewski1.551171013113K. Marchlewski2.25411121192WSep 13 · 23:20D. Kotwica1.5511812882K. Marchlewski2.207111011113LSep 13 · 22:35A. Linek1.3011118123K. Marchlewski3.108911101LSep 13 · 22:15K. Marchlewski3.3511781152K. Rudomina1.25811115113
J. Przewlocki10
LSep 21 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk2.051111113J. Przewlocki1.668660LSep 21 · 21:30A. Myszewski1.7491111113J. Przewlocki1.95116541LSep 21 · 20:05J. Przewlocki1.5010470K. Marchlewski2.401211113WSep 21 · 18:30M. Durda1.157550J. Przewlocki5.001111113LSep 21 · 17:45A. Myszewski1.7411211113J. Przewlocki1.95811471WSep 21 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.731111123M. Kowalczyk1.9877100LSep 21 · 15:50J. Przewlocki1.756890P. Strus1.951111113LSep 18 · 13:55B. Mleczko1.441111133J. Przewlocki2.6033110WSep 18 · 13:05W. Gronowski1.751116381J. Przewlocki1.98131411113LSep 18 · 12:15J. Przewlocki3.1010111461M. Minda1.3012916113
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